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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Research: total USD invested in Chinese startups fell by ~75% in 2022; 19% of the total capital put into Chinese startups was in USD, compared to 39% in 2021

The country's newest crop of technology companies is more likely to list at home rather than in the US Tweets: @dravirmani Tweets: Arvind Virmani / @dravirmani : #sREAD #PRC has been a current account surplus country since 2003. Why does it need dollar funding? Because it is a conduit for making contacts, getting information & obtaining knowledge without paying for it. https://twitter.com/...

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

The 75% collapse in dollar funding is the endpoint of an arc the coverage has tracked all year: total VC deal value in China was already sliding at four times the global pace by mid-2022 (deal value down 44% YoY to $24.7B), and internet companies alone raised just $3.51B in Q1 2022, off 76.7%. The new data isolates the currency dimension — the retreat is not just smaller checks, it is Western capital specifically leaving.

That matters because the dollar tranche was the on-ramp to US listings. With USD's share halving to 19%, the report notes new tech companies now list at home instead — reversing the pipeline that produced the 2018 boom year of $69.4B raised, when investor caution after disappointments like Tencent Music's listing already hinted at the exit problem.

First-order effects

  • Dollar-denominated VCs lose their main deployment channel in China, while founders who once structured for a US IPO must now raise RMB and plan around domestic exchanges — shrinking the pool of capital available to the newest crop of companies.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

  • If USD's share stays near 19%, global venture splits into two largely separate pools — dollar-funded companies listing in the US and locally funded ones listing in China — cutting off the cross-listing arbitrage that defined the last decade of China tech exits.

The trend: Venture capital is decoupling along currency lines, with dollar investors exiting China's startups and domestic RMB funding plus local listings replacing the US exit path.

Discussion

  • @dravirmani Arvind Virmani on x
    #sREAD #PRC has been a current account surplus country since 2003. Why does it need dollar funding? Because it is a conduit for making contacts, getting information & obtaining knowledge without paying for it. https://twitter.com/...