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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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US government spent over $1B over a decade to digitize 100 immigration forms, but only one form now online

A decade into a project to digitize U.S. immigration forms, just 1 is online  —  Heaving under mountains of paperwork, the government has spent more than $1 billion trying to replace …

Washington Post Jerry Markon

Context & Ripple Effects

A decade and more than $1 billion into the effort to move 100 immigration forms online, exactly one is live — the kind of outcome that shaped the next decade of federal modernization politics. The Biden administration's later push to bring services online, including its 2021 executive order directing 17 agencies to modernize, was written against this failure's backdrop.

The contrast with what did work is instructive: the revamped passport renewal system launched in 2024 now handles nearly half of renewals, and the IRS committed to fully digital filing by 2025. Meanwhile DHS took a different path entirely — rather than digitizing forms for applicants, it partnered with DOGE on the first searchable national citizenship database, extracting value from existing records instead of replacing intake paperwork.

First-order effects

  • Immigration applicants keep filing paper: with 99 of 100 forms still offline, USCIS continues absorbing the manual processing costs the billion-dollar program was meant to eliminate.

Second-order effects

  • The passport renewal system's rapid adoption after its 2024 debut sets an internal benchmark, sharpening scrutiny of why immigration digitization stalled where State and IRS efforts moved.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points toward a split federal IT strategy: citizen-facing form digitization proceeds slowly and unevenly, while enforcement-side data aggregation moves fast — the DHS-DOGE citizenship database shows records can be centralized for government use long before they are accessible to the people they describe.

The trend: US government modernization is diverging: service-facing digitization crawls through procurement failures like this $1B program, while surveillance-oriented data systems get built quickly when enforcement priorities fund them.