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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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After a big decline in 2022, Meta's stock has risen 72%+ since November 3, one of the S&P 500 Index's best-performing stocks, adding $200B+ to its market cap

A spectacular turnaround in Meta Platforms Inc.'s stock is bringing back flashes of Big Tech heydays.

Bloomberg Subrat Patnaik

Context & Ripple Effects

Meta's rebound follows a 60% slide over the preceding 12 months, a decline that had made it the worst-performing Big Tech stock and far steeper than the Nasdaq Composite's drop. The move therefore marks a sharp reversal in Meta's relative market standing, not simply a broad-market recovery.

Later coverage of Meta's record $200B single-session market-value gain places this earlier rally in a continuing valuation-recovery arc for the company.

First-order effects

  • Meta shareholders gain more than $200B in market value, while Meta becomes one of the S&P 500's strongest performers since early November.
  • The rally reverses part of the market-cap erosion that had pushed Meta out of the world's 10 most valuable companies in early 2022.

Second-order effects

  • Meta's rebound narrows the relative-performance gap that had separated it from other Big Tech stocks and from the Nasdaq during its prior selloff.
  • The scale of the move makes Meta's valuation trajectory a more consequential contributor to Big Tech's market narrative rather than an isolated laggard story.

Third-order effects

  • The reversal illustrates how quickly public-market leadership within Big Tech can rotate when a company moves from an extreme drawdown to sustained outperformance.
  • If such recoveries persist, Big Tech's market-value hierarchy will be shaped less by fixed incumbency than by sharp company-specific re-ratings.

The trend: Big Tech valuations are becoming more volatile and company-specific, with large drawdowns and recoveries rapidly reshaping market leadership.

Discussion

  • @jason_kint Jason Kint on x
    I mean, they said advertising impressions were up 23% but prices were down 22%. Correct me if I'm wrong but that appears to be jamming more ads into experiences while massive decline in demand/price due to less surveillance capabilities thanks to privacy laws/tech. Bad. /3
  • @jason_kint Jason Kint on x
    Just listened to last night's Facebook earnings. I can't explain overnight stock jump but expectations were obviously low + $40B buyback. However, a few observations, particularly EU (revenue down 16%yr/yr) caught my attention. I find its view on GDPR decision delusional. /1 http…
  • @jimpethokoukis James Pethokoukis on x
    “In future years we will probably look back at 2023 as the sentiment shift for META shares,” Barclays Plc analyst Ross Sandler wrote in a note, raising the price target to $260 from $165. https://www.bloomberg.com/... via @technology
  • @seyitaylor @seyitaylor on x
    Personally, I don't like to bet against Zuck.
  • @themarketdog @themarketdog on x
    “Keeps growing” what kind of trash is that. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @lisaabramowicz1 Lisa Abramowicz on x
    The larger question behind some recent tech layoffs is: were tech companies simply overstaffed after an era of free money, or is artificial intelligence enabling these platforms to operate with far fewer employees with the same results?
  • @turnernovak @turnernovak on x
    Meta just announced its doing a $40 billion stock buyback. With that $40 billion, it could have acquired Twitter, Snapchat, and Pinterest, and given $1 million to every American and still have money left over. Really makes you think.
  • @borrowed_ideas @borrowed_ideas on x
    1Q'23 topline is expected to be $26-28.5 Bn (2% FX headwind) which implies -7% to +2% YoY Meta remains a tricky ship. It is far from dead as the stock was telling you at $90, but the underlying currents indeed went through a rapid change over the last few quarters.
  • @lisaabramowicz1 Lisa Abramowicz on x
    Meta is the S&P's best performer since the stock's November 3 closing low, and is poised to have more than doubled in value since then. Zuckerberg yesterday promised a “year of efficiency,” with less middle management & greater use of AI. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @valuestockgeek @valuestockgeek on x
    I was told this was MySpace. $META https://twitter.com/...
  • @kobeissiletter @kobeissiletter on x
    This is what happens when you fire a bunch of employees and use the money for a $40 billion stock buyback. $META https://twitter.com/...
  • @blakestonks Blake on x
    Want to know how disconnected from reality the market is? $META - Huge miss on EPS & down 52% from same time last year. - Revenue barely beats. - Quarterly profit down 55% Stock is up 19% AH, beacuse of buyback lmao.
  • @stealthqe4 @stealthqe4 on x
    FB up $27 or 18% on earnings. Trading like a penny stock.
  • @stockmktnewz @stockmktnewz on x
    Facebook $META is up 18% in after hours https://twitter.com/...
  • @grdecter @grdecter on x
    From 2017 through the end of 2022, Meta spent about $97 billion buying back its own stock at an average price of $242/share. That's a $24.25 billion total loss (-25%) over the last 6 years.
  • @qcapital2020 @qcapital2020 on x
    $META Never Forget Stock is up +90% since https://twitter.com/...
  • @spectatorindex @spectatorindex on x
    BREAKING: Meta shares up over 13% in after hours trading as revenues beat estimates and company announces $40 billion in stock buybacks
  • @borrowed_ideas @borrowed_ideas on x
    $META 4Q'22 Update What a difference three months makes! Meta stock almost doubled from late October to today! 2023 is suddenly the “Year of Efficiency”! Zuck's tone was markedly different tonight. Here's my highlights from tonight's earnings call.
  • @seyitaylor @seyitaylor on x
    Zuck did.
  • @levie Aaron Levie on x
    Zuck ended the recession https://twitter.com/...
  • @sarthakgh Sar Haribhakti on x
    Meta just announced it's doing a $40 billion stock buyback. With that $40 billion, it could have led Series As at post-pandemic prices for all of the US startup ecosystem and supported innovation and jobs Really makes you think https://twitter.com/...