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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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As memory prices plunge, SK Hynix reports a ~$1.4B Q4 operating loss, its biggest quarterly operating loss yet, vs. ~$900M est., and a 38% YoY drop in revenue

Sohee Kim / Bloomberg :

Bloomberg Sohee Kim

Context & Ripple Effects

SK Hynix had already warned that memory demand was undergoing an unprecedented deterioration in late 2022. The Q4 loss shows that warning moving from a demand signal into a material hit to revenue and operating results.

The result became the opening stage of a longer earnings trough: SK Hynix’s Q1 loss widened beyond the Q4 level before later quarters showed progressively less severe losses and, eventually, a return to profit.

First-order effects

  • SK Hynix posts a larger-than-expected quarterly operating loss as falling memory prices cut revenue, putting its near-term financial performance below the market’s forecast.
  • The scale of the loss establishes a new low point for SK Hynix after its prior-quarter warning on deteriorating memory demand.

Second-order effects

  • The miss gives investors a harsher benchmark for the memory downturn, while SK Hynix’s subsequent Q1 result indicates that price and demand pressure did not reverse immediately.
  • Samsung and SK Hynix shares were already falling during the week’s selloff, so the earnings shortfall reinforces scrutiny of memory-exposed chipmakers rather than isolating the weakness to one company.

Third-order effects

  • The sequence from warning to deeper losses and then SK Hynix’s return to quarterly profit underscores how sharply memory-company earnings can swing as pricing and inventory conditions turn.
  • If this cycle repeats, memory suppliers’ financial results will remain driven less by steady unit demand than by the timing of price corrections and capacity adjustments.

The trend: The story is one point in the memory supercycle pattern, where a pricing collapse rapidly turns chipmakers’ profits into losses before an eventual recovery restores operating leverage.

Discussion

  • @samkimasia @samkimasia on x
    Hynix is more explicit about the need to adjust to the downturn, saying “with uncertainties still lingering, we will continue to reduce investments and costs, while trying to minimize the impact of the downturn by prioritizing markets with high growth potential.”
  • @samkimasia @samkimasia on x
    Just when you thought Samsung had a terrible quarter with an operating margin of 1.3%, memory-chip rival SK Hynix reports -22% for the same profitability measure https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...