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Chronicles

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Source: Stripe lowers its internal valuation by ~11% to $63B, its third known cut since June 2022, bringing the total reduction to ~40% in the past six months

Maria Heeter / The Information :

The Information Maria Heeter

Context & Ripple Effects

Stripe's internal share price has now been marked down three times since June 2022: after the 28% cut that took the implied valuation from $95B to $74B last summer, today's ~11% reduction to $63B brings the total markdown to roughly 40% in six months.

The arc matters because Stripe's private mark had run far ahead of any priced round — secondary-market transactions put it at $115B back in February 2021, up 3x from $36B in April 2020, and Tiger Global's $100M top-up in 2019 had already doubled its valuation once. Internal marks are how a company that hasn't raised since 2021 reconciles with a repriced market.

First-order effects

  • Stripe employees holding options take another paper-value hit, with the internal mark now sitting ~34% below the $95B private-round valuation their grants were likely priced against.

Second-order effects

  • Equity-heavy compensation loses luster against public-company or cash-rich competitors, raising retention and hiring costs for Stripe precisely when it needs engineering leverage.

Third-order effects

  • The corpus suggests these marks are cyclical rather than terminal: Stripe later reached profitability — ~$1B net revenue and $150M+ operating income in Q3 2023 per its Q3 results — and eventually cleared a $159B valuation in an employee share sale to Thrive, Coatue, and a16z, implying the 2022-23 markdowns tracked liquidity conditions more than business deterioration.

The trend: Late-stage private companies are using internal share-price marks as a rolling repricing mechanism between rounds, with markdowns that reverse when secondary-market demand returns.

Discussion

  • @theinformation @theinformation on x
    Scoop: Stripe cut its internal valuation 11%, implying a $63 billion valuation, 33% lower than the value put on the payments firm when it last raised money. https://thein.fo/XCzb03e
  • @amir Amir Efrati on x
    Stripe common shares down 40% from peak, for those keeping track. https://twitter.com/...
  • @stockgeektv @stockgeektv on x
    Stripe screwed up by missing the 2021 IPO window At least public market investors didn't take this L https://www.theinformation.com/ ...