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Google Fiber plans service in San Antonio, its biggest city yet

Jon Brodkin / Ars Technica :

Ars Technica Jon Brodkin

Context & Ripple Effects

San Antonio extends the city-by-city rollout Google Fiber has been announcing through 2015–2016: after confirming Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville, and Raleigh-Durham, adding Salt Lake City as its eighth location, and reaching San Francisco apartments via existing fiber networks, this is its largest single market to date — a step up from mid-size metros to a top-tier US city.

The choice carries extra weight in hindsight: San Antonio later became one of two cities where Google Fiber launched without its traditional TV add-on, part of the company's pivot toward streaming-only bundles as it searched for cheaper deployment models.

First-order effects

  • San Antonio residents and businesses gain a gigabit broadband option at scale for the first time, with Google Fiber committing construction resources to its biggest market yet.
  • Local incumbent broadband providers in San Antonio now face direct competition in their largest challenged market, not a satellite metro.

Second-order effects

  • Incumbent providers are likely to accelerate their own network upgrades in response — consistent with the corpus finding that Google Fiber entries pushed incumbents' infrastructure investments forward by years.
  • A top-ten city build raises the stakes on Google Fiber's cost structure, pushing it toward the cheaper models visible elsewhere in its footprint: existing fiber in San Francisco and overlaying a municipally owned network in Huntsville.

Third-order effects

  • If large-city economics force continued experimentation — dropping linear TV, partnering on municipal fiber, and ultimately the experimental nanotrenching approach whose failure led to the Louisville shutdown — Google Fiber's role may shift from greenfield builder to catalyst and partner for other networks' upgrades.

The trend: Municipal-scale gigabit rollouts are forcing incumbents to invest years ahead of schedule while pushing Google Fiber itself toward cheaper, partnership-based deployment models.