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Apple Stores drop AT&T iPhone subsidies this month as Verizon changes coming

Mark Gurman / 9to5Mac :

9to5Mac Mark Gurman

Context & Ripple Effects

This lands mid-way through the collapse of the US two-year contract model. By early 2015 the carriers had already moved to installment programs — AT&T Next, Verizon Edge — and T-Mobile was openly attacking rivals' switchers by promising rates won't rise while paying off Verizon Edge and AT&T Next bills for people who jump ship. Apple, for its part, had just started offering Android switchers gift cards to trade in rival smartphones, pushing hard on upgrades from the device side.

First-order effects

Second-order effects

  • Carriers lose their main hardware lock-in lever, so they respond with upgrade-cycle products of their own — Verizon followed within months with an annual iPhone upgrade plan.
  • Apple moves to capture the relationship itself: its own financing program was explicitly framed as letting Apple take the primary customer relationship away from carriers, which matters more as phones go full-price and unsubsidized.

Third-order effects

  • The subsidy era ends structurally: handsets decouple from service contracts, carriers compete on network price and trade-in offers rather than device discounts, and the phone maker — not the carrier — owns the upgrade cadence. That logic resurfaces years later when carrier promos again drive demand, as with iPhones sold on attractive carrier offers during the 5G push.

The trend: US carriers are dismantling two-year smartphone subsidies in favor of installment financing, shifting the customer relationship toward Apple and turning upgrade programs into the new competitive battleground.