First-order effects

• Google now faces a formal probe into whether requiring Android manufacturers to bundle its apps, with search at the center, violates Russian competition law — putting the contracts behind its mobile search distribution directly under regulatory scrutiny.
• Yandex gains a state-backed forum for its core complaint: that Android's default setup forecloses its search engine from devices in its dominant home market.

Second-order effects

• If the regulator finds against Google, Android handset makers selling in Russia would be forced to renegotiate or drop the bundling clauses, opening shelf space for Yandex as a pre-installable alternative.
• A favorable ruling would hand Yandex a template to export: within months it took the same bundling argument to the European Commission, widening the fight from one jurisdiction into a multi-front campaign.

Third-order effects

• The pattern that follows from this case is instructive: the eventual $7.8M out-of-court settlement was modest, but the structural remedy logic traveled — Russia later ordered Google to strip bundling requirements from OEM contracts, and when the EU imposed a search-choice screen on Android, Yandex climbed into the top five options in Germany, showing default-remedy cases can measurably redistribute search share years later.