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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Apple iPad may delay transition to SSD, say hard drive makers

The appearance of Apple's iPad may create tight supply of NAND flash and delay the transition to solid-state drives (SSD) in PCs, according to sources from hard drive makers.  —  Apple, which has enjoyed success with its iPods and iPhones …

DigiTimes Erica Yen

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s portable-device flash buying had already been linked to supply pressure: a reported large Apple NAND order in 2009 was said to tighten the market, following reports that Hynix and Samsung had prioritized NAND output for Apple. Days before the iPad’s April 3 release, separate coverage also pointed to tight launch inventory.

Against that backdrop, hard-drive-maker sources are treating the iPad as another large claimant on NAND capacity. The supply and PC-SSD effects remain unconfirmed, but the report matters because it frames Apple’s device volumes as a constraint on storage-component allocation beyond Apple’s own products.

First-order effects

  • If the hard-drive makers’ sources are correct, Apple’s iPad ramp will tighten NAND availability for PC SSD suppliers while Apple competes for the same component pool.

Second-order effects

  • PC makers and SSD vendors would face a slower or more costly shift from hard drives to flash storage, giving hard-drive makers a temporary demand reprieve.

Third-order effects

  • Repeated reports of Apple-linked NAND pressure point to a supply chain in which high-volume device buyers can shape component allocation and the pace of adoption in adjacent PC markets.

The trend: Consumer-device makers with concentrated flash demand are becoming an important variable in how quickly PCs can move from hard drives to SSDs.