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Chronicles

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A theoretical computer scientist says he has heard rumors that AI labs are sitting on major math solutions after a hostile response to the Navier-Stokes proof

Twenty years ago, when the idea of AI taking over the world in our lifetimes still struck most of us as the unconstrained fantasy …

Shtetl-Optimized Scott Aaronson

Discussion

  • @andrewcurran_ Andrew Curran on x
    Scott Aaronson writing tonight about rats, Eliezer Yudkowsky, the Road to Damascus, and the Singularity - which he now says has already started.
  • @andrewcurran_ Andrew Curran on x
    Scott Aaronson writes on his blog tonight that he has heard rumors that the AI companies have reached solutions to some very longstanding open problems in theoretical computer science, and are now sitting on multiple major announcements because of the Navier-Stokes firestorm.
  • @emollick Ethan Mollick on x
    I don't usually spread rumors but: 1) This is from someone with inside knowledge & is plausible 2) Is a real issue of policy we need to think about: if the norms of sharing become strained, will the labs start hoarding knowledge to avoid PR issues? Here https://scottaaronson.blog…
  • @andrewcurran_ Andrew Curran on x
    More confirmation that OpenAI has made ‘significant progress’ on a second Millennium problem, this time from Greg Brockman. The rumor is that they are close to solving two of the remaining problems. Or already have. Which two? Unknown. Dev Day would be a good day to announce.
  • @elliotglazer Elliot Glazer on x
    Based on what I know: “Significant progress” ✅ “Close to solving the full versions” ❌ This is not a Euler 🔜 Navier-Stokes equations situation. Please stop embellishing their achievements, which will speak for themselves.
  • @pekka Pekka Lund on bluesky
    “The test is this: if we took the news of these past few weeks and sent it back in time twenty years, would I agree that it looked like the beginning of an AI Singularity?  The intellectually honest answer is: yes, absolutely.  But then that's all we need.  No backsies.”
  • @robinsonmeyer Robinson Meyer on bluesky
    Might be the first AI post to check all the boxes of “does a professional who is much closer to the topic than you are, who became an expert in the field more than 10 years ago, and who finds various relevant interpersonal peculiarities as weird as you do, seem worried?” scottaar…
  • r/accelerate r on reddit
    Quantum computing researcher and Chair of CS at the UTexas at Austin: “I'm told that the AI companies, having been burned by the hostile response …
  • @tszzl Roon on x
    i am of the opinion that labs sitting on solutions to important problems must reveal them quickly. trying to hold onto them is something like trying to stop the tides with a wood fence. everyone will have those capabilities in a month or two
  • @tszzl Roon on x
    this is a preview of what a solved world will look like, with everyone in various ways competing over the honor of preserving a problem— the solving becoming a sacred act to be done by some acceptable priesthood class— rather than competing over and delivering better solutions
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    Scott Aaronson writes on his blog tonight that he has heard rumors that the AI companies have reached solutions to some very longstanding open problems …
  • @tcarmody Tim Carmody on bluesky
    This is the juiciest bit in this sharp post but it's not really elaborated on further [embedded post]
  • @scottnarmstrong Scott Armstrong on x
    I am worried about a situation in which rumors are constantly swirling about major results and your distance to the labs in the social graph distance determines how much you know. Since at least the ICM they (openAI) have been sitting on “hundreds
  • @noahpinion Noah Smith on x
    The rest of our lives will mostly revolve around AI, and yet growth will still be 1.5%
  • @leahlibresco Leah Libresco Sargeant on x
    Scott Aaronson HAS SEEN ENOUGH. “It seems to me that the Singularity has already started; it's just wildly unevenly distributed.” https://scottaaronson.blog/...
  • @jabaluck Jason Abaluck on x
    So bizarre that labs have likely made major scientific advances that they are hesitant to announce out of fear of a PR backlash. If you have made major scientific breakthroughs, please share them with the world!*
  • @natewitkin Nathan Witkin on x
    The essay below from Aaronson is just unmoored from reality, sorry. It is just not true, if you try to approach the question in a data-oriented fashion, rather than via vibes and speculative fiction and anecdotes, that capability is “dramatically ramping up ... every month.
  • @lugaricano Luis Garicano on x
    Superb writing from Scott Aaronson, recanting his previous skepticism of the singularity, asking us all to update priors, and pointing at some future directions. https://scottaaronson.blog/...
  • @andrewcurran_ Andrew Curran on x
    Aaronson also says the singularity has begun.
  • @pfau David Pfau on x
    @emollick If only the academic community had come up with a set of shared norms and practices for sharing research results that could be followed...
  • @jessi_cata @jessi_cata on x
    We might be missing out on secrets of the universe because some people would be upset if they were released (because of... who gets credit? is knowing the answer really important? whether it might discourage people from studying the secrets of the universe?)
  • @aryehazan Aryeh Kontorovich on x
    it's Riemann isn't it
  • r/slatestarcodex r on reddit
    The Age of Wonders and Terrors