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Chronicles

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Sources: OpenAI has held early conversations with investors about raising another private funding round at a $1.2T valuation before its planned IPO

Sam Altman's start-up could capitalise on demand for its technology after new model launches  —  OpenAI has held early conversations …

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

OpenAI’s reported valuation ambitions have risen sharply from a 2023 share-sale discussion valuing it at $80B–$90B to preliminary 2025 fundraising talks around $750B. Separate reporting in October 2025 framed a large private raise as a bridge to a potential IPO.

The latest talks are early and unconfirmed, but they put a $1.2T private-market reference point beside OpenAI’s reported IPO preparations. Reporting the same day also said investors had proposed that level while OpenAI was seeking a higher valuation, underscoring that price remains under negotiation.

First-order effects

  • Prospective OpenAI backers are being asked to assess a pre-IPO entry price around $1.2T, with no completed financing or final terms reported.
  • OpenAI gains another potential private-capital route before its reported public listing, preserving flexibility over when and at what valuation it approaches public investors.

Second-order effects

  • If a round is completed at that level, private investors seeking exposure to frontier AI will face a higher price benchmark set by OpenAI rather than a public-market listing.
  • A large pre-IPO raise would make financing capacity and acceptable valuation terms central to OpenAI’s investor selection, concentrating leverage among institutions able to write very large checks.

Third-order effects

  • The progression from secondary-sale discussions to ever-larger reported private rounds points toward frontier AI labs relying on bespoke late-stage capital markets before public listings.
  • If this pattern holds, access to deep pools of private capital—not just model demand—will increasingly determine which AI developers can sustain the costs associated with scaling.

The trend: Frontier AI is becoming a capital-concentration story in which private financing rounds establish the valuation and funding runway before public markets get access.

Discussion

  • @edzitron Ed Zitron on x
    The question is where this money comes from. SoftBank can't afford it. NVIDIA said it wouldn't invest again, and the amounts of money OpenAI needs are to the tune of tens of billions, which might actually strain Jensen's balance sheet. Amazon sent $50bn. Google, I guess?
  • @georgenhammond George Hammond on x
    Scoop: OpenAI is in talks with investors for a new round at a ~$1.2tn valuation. Convos are early and terms could change, not least because the market is working out how to price in existential risk from AI. w/ George Steer https://www.ft.com/...
  • @hesamation @hesamation on x
    🚨 OPENAI IS IN TALKS FOR ANOTHER FUNDING ROUND, AT A $1.2 TRILLION VALUATION. but the details are more interesting: > valuation jumped 41% in just 6 months > annualized revenue jumped 20% after GPT-5.6 now passing $40B/year > investors approached OpenAI (not the other way) > reas…
  • @mikeisaac Rat King on x
    george provides me with my fav sentence i will read all year