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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Videogame maker EA attracting PE interest

This game is just getting started.  —  Electronic Arts — the force behind such popular video games as “SimCity” and “Madden NFL” — is quietly exploring a sale, The Post has learned.  —  While the discussions are at an early stage …

New York Post Claire Atkinson

Context & Ripple Effects

EA had already been pursuing a push into online services, then added social-game makers PopCap and KlickNation in 2011. Its digital revenue passed $1 billion before the end of 2011, with social games included.

That makes the reported private-equity interest more than a bet on individual releases: it puts a publisher’s franchises, online operations and acquired social-game assets into a single valuation discussion. The sale exploration remains unconfirmed, and no transaction has been announced.

First-order effects

  • The reported process puts EA’s Madden NFL and SimCity franchises, digital revenue streams and social-game holdings before prospective private-equity buyers.
  • EA’s management and board face a market test of the value created by its online-services push and its PopCap and KlickNation acquisitions.

Second-order effects

  • Potential buyers will assess whether EA’s digital and social-game revenues can support a financial-owner model, shifting attention from standalone game launches to the durability of those revenue streams.
  • Other large game publishers with established franchises and growing digital businesses gain a comparable reference point as investors look for acquisition candidates.

Third-order effects

  • If financial buyers consistently value publishers as portfolios of intellectual property plus recurring digital operations, game-company valuations may become less tied solely to the hit-driven release cycle.
  • The pattern points toward consolidation pressure in videogames, with ownership decisions increasingly shaped by the cash-flow potential of online services and social games.

The trend: Videogame publishing is moving toward an IP-and-digital-services investment model that can draw buyers beyond traditional media companies.