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Amazon to buy Diapers.com for $540 million

A Zappos like purchase for the e-commerce giant.  —  “What Amazon fears most: Diapers” declared the cover of BusinessWeek earlier this fall.  Now it's clear that Amazon didn't fear diapers, it just wanted them for itself.

Fortune Dan Primack

Context & Ripple Effects

Diapers.com had built a business with more than $100 million in revenue before Amazon's price war with the online retailer a day earlier. The agreed purchase turns a costly competitive fight into ownership of a meaningful specialist merchant, echoing the article's comparison with Zappos.

First-order effects

  • Diapers.com shifts from an independent retailer facing Amazon's price pressure to an acquisition target under Amazon's control, subject to completion of the agreement.
  • Amazon replaces a direct price-war opponent in baby products with an acquired business for $540 million.

Second-order effects

  • Amazon's move gives other niche e-commerce retailers a clear signal that competing in a strategic category may mean confronting both aggressive pricing and Amazon's acquisition capacity.
  • Diapers.com's sale removes an independent challenger from the online baby-products market, concentrating competition around Amazon rather than a standalone specialist.

Third-order effects

  • If Amazon repeats the price-war-to-acquisition pattern in other categories, specialist online retail faces a structural choice between differentiation strong enough to withstand Amazon or a sale to a larger platform.
  • The deal points toward e-commerce consolidation in which scale supports both lower-price competition and the purchase of successful category specialists.

The trend: Large e-commerce platforms are using their scale to turn category-level competition with specialists into consolidation opportunities.