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Flash and the HTML5 tag

There's been a lot of discussion lately about whether or not the HTML5 <video> tag is going to replace Flash Player for video distribution on the web.  We've been excited about the HTML5 effort and <video> tag for quite a while now, and most YouTube videos can now be played via our HTML5 player.

YouTube API Blog Kuan Yong

Context & Ripple Effects

YouTube had already introduced HTML5-supported video playback in January, while Microsoft’s April HTML5 video coverage showed the standard was becoming a browser-platform issue rather than a single site experiment.

Making most of YouTube’s catalog available through its HTML5 player turns that earlier option into a meaningful distribution path, even as Flash Player remains part of the delivery mix.

First-order effects

  • YouTube can serve eligible videos through its HTML5 player, giving viewers and publishers a playback route that does not depend exclusively on Flash Player.
  • Flash Player retains a role in YouTube distribution, but its position shifts from sole delivery mechanism to one of multiple playback paths.

Second-order effects

  • Browser makers’ HTML5 video implementations become more consequential to YouTube’s viewing experience because a major video service is directing more playback through the standard.
  • Flash Player faces greater pressure to demonstrate why publishers and viewers should continue relying on its distinct capabilities when HTML5 playback is available for most YouTube videos.

Third-order effects

  • If large video platforms continue expanding HTML5 playback, control over web-video delivery will move further toward browser standards and away from a single proprietary player.
  • The transition is likely to be uneven: YouTube’s continued use of Flash shows that standards adoption can broaden before it fully displaces incumbent technology.

The trend: Web video is moving toward standards-based browser playback, with large platforms using their catalogs to accelerate adoption while retaining legacy delivery paths during the transition.