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Chronicles

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Dell Sees Further Softening in Global Information Technology Demand

ROUND ROCK, Texas—(BUSINESS WIRE)—When Dell (NASDAQ:DELL - News) announced Q2 financial results on Aug. 28, 2008, it reported continued conservatism in IT spending in the U.S., which had extended into Western Europe and several countries in Asia.

Business Wire

Context & Ripple Effects

Dell's 2005 third-quarter earnings slip supplies a limited earlier sign that its performance was sensitive to demand conditions. By September 2008, the company had also committed to sell computer factories globally and overhaul production, while introducing the Inspiron Mini 9 at $349 with Ubuntu or $399 with Windows XP.

The reported spending restraint spans the U.S., Western Europe and parts of Asia, making the issue broader than a single regional sales slowdown. It raises the stakes for Dell's shift toward a lower-cost production model and lower-priced portable PCs.

First-order effects

  • Dell faces more cautious IT buyers across its major geographic markets, increasing pressure on sales volumes and on the company to match spending restraint with lower operating costs.
  • Dell's planned sale of computer factories becomes more consequential because a less asset-heavy production model can reduce the fixed-cost exposure attached to softer hardware demand.

Second-order effects

  • The Inspiron Mini 9's $349 Ubuntu configuration and $399 Windows XP configuration give Dell a lower-upfront-price offer as buyers scrutinize IT budgets, making price points a more important part of its PC positioning.
  • Dell's production overhaul ties its ability to compete during weaker demand more closely to execution on factory sales and the resulting cost structure.

Third-order effects

  • If IT-budget conservatism persists across regions, PC vendors will have greater incentive to replace owned manufacturing capacity with more flexible production arrangements and to compete more visibly at lower price tiers.

The trend: Global IT spending restraint is pushing hardware vendors to pair lower-priced products with more flexible, lower-fixed-cost production models.