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AT&T: 1.9 million iPhones activated

AT&T said Wednesday that it activated 1.9 million iPhone 3Gs in the fourth quarter with 40 percent of those activations representing new customers.  —  In the back half of 2008, AT&T activated more than 4.3 million iPhones (statement).

Between the Lines Larry Dignan

Context & Ripple Effects

AT&T had already passed one million iPhone activations shortly after the device’s 2007 launch. The fourth-quarter tally shows the iPhone 3G had become a meaningful acquisition channel for the carrier, not merely an upgrade product: 40% of activations came from new customers.

First-order effects

  • AT&T adds roughly 760,000 new customers through its 1.9 million fourth-quarter iPhone 3G activations, strengthening the carrier’s subscriber base alongside device sales.
  • The more than 4.3 million iPhones activated in the second half of 2008 make iPhone support and retention a larger operational priority for AT&T.

Second-order effects

  • AT&T’s handset-led customer gains raise the commercial importance of maintaining service quality as its network upgrades affect some 2G users, including owners of the original iPhone.
  • The iPhone becomes a clearer benchmark for AT&T’s customer acquisition performance, concentrating attention on activations rather than promotions alone.

Third-order effects

  • If the activation mix persists, carrier competition increasingly turns on exclusive or differentiated handset relationships that can bring in new subscribers, rather than on network access alone.

The trend: Smartphones are becoming a carrier acquisition engine, with activation volumes and new-customer mix emerging as core measures of their strategic value.