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AT&T, Verizon offer HBO with basic cable and internet for $40-50; still no cable-free option

Why HBO and Pay TV Still Aren't Getting Divorced  —  Reminder: You still can't get HBO without paying for other TV channels, too.  —  But you can still get a cheapish package that includes HBO …

Re/code Peter Kafka

Context & Ripple Effects

Five years after NewTeeVee asked whether viewers would pay Comcast $10 a month for online TV (Would You Pay Comcast $10 a Month for Online TV?), the two biggest wireline distributors have answered with a discount rather than a divorce: AT&T and Verizon will sell HBO inside a basic cable-and-internet package for $40-50. The story traveled widely on pickup from Bloomberg, BGR, Deadline and VentureBeat, which says something about how charged the unbundling question had become by mid-2014.

The significance is what did not change: as of this writing HBO still cannot be bought without paying for other TV channels alongside it. The distributors' move treats HBO as pricing glue for the traditional bundle rather than a product that can stand alone.

First-order effects

  • Viewers who want only HBO have exactly one legal route — a $40-50 basic cable-plus-internet package from AT&T or Verizon — so the bundle price, not any HBO-only price, sets the true cost of entry.
  • Every incremental HBO subscriber still arrives attached to channels they did not ask for, keeping HBO's growth tied to pay-TV distribution rather than independent subscriptions.

Second-order effects

  • Rival distributors face pressure to match discounted HBO bundles to defend their own video subscriber bases, converting HBO from a standalone revenue line into a retention lever across the pay-TV market.
  • The bundle math makes HBO's economics visibly dependent on the pay-TV package, sharpening the stakes for HBO and its distributors of any future decision to sell directly to consumers.

Third-order effects

  • If the only door to HBO keeps running through a cable subscription, accumulated demand for a cable-free option builds pressure on HBO and distributors alike to eventually break the tie — the same question the 2009 online-TV debate posed, still unanswered.
  • A pattern of premium channels anchoring discounted bundles entrenches the pay-TV package as the unit of sale, delaying the per-channel and per-app market that unbundling advocates expected.

The trend: Pay-TV distributors are using premium channels like HBO as pricing glue for broadband-and-video bundles, holding the à la carte future at bay even as demand for it builds.