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Chronicles

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SoftBank gets closer to buying T-Mobile: report

(Reuters) - Japan-based SoftBank Corp (TYO:9984) is in final stages of talks with T-Mobile (TMUS.N)parent company Deutsche Telekom (DTE.DE)about acquiring the U.S.-based wireless carrier, the Nikkei news service reported on Tuesday, citing anonymous sources.

Reuters Liana B. Baker

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the second act of SoftBank's push into US wireless: it agreed in October 2012 to take a $12.8 billion controlling stake in Sprint, then spent 2013 building distribution around it, including a $1.26 billion majority purchase of device distributor Brightstar in October and even undercutting Square's fees for Japanese retailers. A Nikkei-sourced report of final-stage talks with Deutsche Telekom — unconfirmed by the companies — would fold T-Mobile into the same portfolio.

The target is not standing still. In December alone T-Mobile lit up higher-speed LTE using spectrum from its MetroPCS acquisition and scheduled a CES media event for the next Un-Carrier step, which makes it a more valuable asset precisely as Deutsche Telekom appears ready to sell.

First-order effects

  • If the talks conclude as Nikkei's anonymous sources describe, SoftBank would control both Sprint and T-Mobile, cutting the four major US wireless carriers down to three and giving Deutsche Telekom its exit from the US market.
  • Deutsche Telekom and T-Mobile shareholders immediately gain a live bid to price against, while the rumored status means any announced terms remain subject to confirmation and board sign-off.

Second-order effects

  • A combined Sprint–T-Mobile would pool T-Mobile's freshly deployed MetroPCS-derived LTE spectrum with Sprint's network, forcing AT&T and Verizon to respond on price and capacity just as T-Mobile has been winning customers with Un-Carrier moves such as dropping spam-text fees.
  • Because this is a four-to-three consolidation, the deal's fate rests with US regulators — a prolonged review would leave both carriers' network plans and the planned CES announcements hanging under ownership uncertainty.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern — Japanese capital buying successively deeper into US mobile, from the 2012 Sprint stake to Brightstar to this bid — points toward cross-border consolidation as the structural answer to a market where scale against Verizon and AT&T keeps getting more expensive.
  • If regulators block or dilute the combination, T-Mobile does not return to independence quietly: it stays the industry's obvious acquisition target, keeping Deutsche Telekom's exit option open for whoever bids next.

The trend: US wireless is consolidating toward three national carriers through cross-border capital, with SoftBank positioning itself as the aggregator of the challengers.