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Samsung's Galaxy S III overtakes the iPhone 4S as the world's best-selling smartphone in Q3 2012

Samsung's flagship Galaxy S III handset usurped the Apple iPhone 4S as the world's best-selling smartphone in the third quarter of 2012, according to a new report released by market research and consulting firm Strategy Analytics.

The Next Web Martin Bryant

Context & Ripple Effects

The crown change is the endpoint of a year-long climb: Samsung first took the overall smartphone share lead from Apple in May 2012 (overtaking Apple on market share), then its flagship passed the iPhone 4S as the top-selling US smartphone in September (the US handover). By early November the Galaxy S III had cleared 30 million units, adding 10 million in under two months (30 million sales milestone) — so Strategy Analytics' global ranking extends a pattern rather than breaking new ground.

What makes the timing awkward for Apple is that the comparison is against the outgoing model: Chitika's ad-network data showed iPhone 5 usage overtaking the Galaxy S III within three weeks of launch (iPhone 5 usage surpassing the S III), meaning the Q3 ranking measures Samsung's peak against Apple's transition quarter. The story also landed amid the U.K. court-ordered apology saga, with Apple caught hiding the Samsung apology on its site — the rivalry was being fought in courtrooms as well as sales charts.

First-order effects

  • Samsung can now market the Galaxy S III as the world's best-selling smartphone heading into the holiday quarter, while Apple's claim rests on the newer iPhone 5 rather than the 4S this report ranks.
  • Strategy Analytics gains the headline attribution across eight syndicating outlets including BBC, Washington Post and ZDNet — unusually broad pickup that turns a quarterly estimate into a defining narrative beat for both vendors.

Second-order effects

  • Apple's response runs through the iPhone 5 supply ramp: if production catches up to demand in Q4, the ranking flips back, making component yield and channel fill the real battleground behind the chart position.
  • Samsung's parallel push with the Galaxy Note 2 gives it two premium lines attacking Apple's single-flagship cadence, pressuring carriers to split holiday inventory and marketing spend between the S III and the phablet.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, smartphone leadership becomes a volume contest between one vendor shipping many models across price tiers and one shipping a premium few annually — forcing analysts and investors to judge Apple on profit share rather than unit rank.
  • The episode cements third-party estimates like Strategy Analytics' as the scoreboard both companies' narratives are built around, raising the stakes on methodology disputes whenever rankings diverge.

The trend: Smartphone leadership is shifting from a single-device prestige race to a scale contest between Samsung's multi-model portfolio and Apple's annual flagship cycle.