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Facebook Wants To Dominate Paid Discovery By Now Letting Any Developer Buy Mobile App Install Ads

App developers pay huge sums for ads that gets them installs, and Facebook wants to gobble up that spend.  So today Facebook begins allowing all developers to buy its recently announced app install ads …

TechCrunch Josh Constine

Context & Ripple Effects

Facebook is widening the funnel it started building in August 2012, when it unveiled its first non-social mobile ad unit letting developers buy clicks straight to app stores. The move lands weeks after the company threw a coming-out party for its ad exchange, and days after it confirmed its Custom Audience CRM ads are lifting conversions while cutting costs — together the pieces of an ads business being rebuilt around performance rather than social branding.

The timing matters because Facebook's own subscriber growth is slowing; alongside this launch it is testing a signup flow in India that pays users $1 in voice credits just to join. Paid discovery spend from developers is one of the few revenue lines that scales independently of user growth, which is why the story drew same-day pickups from eight outlets including Business Insider, VentureBeat, CNET and Gamasutra.

First-order effects

  • Every Facebook developer can now buy app install ads rather than waiting on an invite, putting Facebook directly into competition with the install-ad budgets developers currently route through other channels.
  • Developers get a self-serve acquisition channel priced on installs, while Facebook converts its mobile feed inventory into direct-response dollars instead of relying on slower-growing display impressions.

Second-order effects

  • Rivals selling install advertising — ad networks and app-store-adjacent players — face pressure to match Facebook's targeting depth, especially as Custom Audiences lets advertisers reach people by email or phone number lists.
  • Game studios and consumer-app makers, the heaviest buyers of installs, gain leverage to negotiate CPI pricing across networks now that a second large-scale auction exists for the same budget.

Third-order effects

  • If install ads keep performing, the logical endpoint is Facebook extending its targeting beyond its own apps into a third-party mobile ad network — turning the social graph itself into the product sold across the open web.
  • Mobile app distribution shifts toward whoever owns the richest commercial-intent data, concentrating developer acquisition spend in a handful of platforms with logged-in identity rather than scattered ad networks.

The trend: Mobile app marketing is consolidating around platforms that own identity data, with Facebook converting slowing user growth into a performance-ads business built on install intent.