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Leaked: Check out photos of RIM's BlackBerry 10 phones

Renderings of its two upcoming phones — a full touchscreen device and one with a Qwerty keyboard — pop up on the Web.  —  Research in Motion may not be showing off its BlackBerry 10 phones any time soon, but that doesn't mean photos …

CNET Roger Cheng

Context & Ripple Effects

This leak lands one day after RIM told the world it would not show off BlackBerry 10 phones this year, holding the reveal for closer to launch. Instead of a controlled unveiling, the first real look at the hardware arrives via Web renderings of two devices — a full touchscreen phone and a Qwerty model.

The two-phone lineup matches what BGR reported back in January, when RIM's 2012/Q1 2013 roadmap surfaced showing exactly two BlackBerry 10 handsets alongside refreshed Curves and an HSPA+ PlayBook. Since then the software has been dribbling out piecemeal — CrackBerry's first superphone image in January, pre-release OS screenshots in February, and Engadget's June hands-on video — so the hardware leak completes a picture RIM has been trying to control. With RIM confirming it is racing to ship devices by early next year and plans to license BlackBerry 10 to other manufacturers, every unofficial glimpse now does double duty as the platform's public audition.

First-order effects

  • RIM loses control of its own reveal calendar: the company explicitly deferred any official showing, yet the touchscreen and Qwerty designs are now public on its rivals' and fans' terms rather than its own.
  • The Qwerty rendering signals to RIM's remaining keyboard-loyal base that the physical-keyboard lineage survives into BlackBerry 10, addressing the biggest retention question hanging over the platform switch.

Second-order effects

  • Carriers and prospective BlackBerry 10 licensees get their first concrete read on the hardware before RIM's marketing does — useful for RIM's confirmed licensing push, but it cedes narrative authority to leakers and blog renders.
  • Competitors' fall lineups now have a visible BlackBerry 10 silhouette to position against during the holiday quarter, when RIM itself will have nothing new on shelves.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, a distressed platform's product cycle becomes leak-driven by default: unofficial images fill the gap between a delayed launch and a fading installed base, shaping expectations RIM must then meet at the actual reveal.
  • For Waterloo, where RIM's decline is already disrupting livelihoods, the stakes of the early-2013 launch are civic as well as corporate — the leaked designs are the most tangible evidence yet that the turnaround hardware exists.

The trend: As RIM times its BlackBerry 10 reveal for maximum launch impact, leaks are becoming the de facto channel through which the platform debuts to carriers, developers, and its remaining users.