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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Carriers Love BlackBerry 10, Says RIM

Research In Motion's new BlackBerry 10 operating system and the handsets on which it will run are still months away from shipping, but the company's leadership is already showing them off to their carrier partners.  And it says responses so far have been quite positive.

AllThingsD John Paczkowski

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the second beat in a two-week charm offensive: on August 13 RIM said BlackBerry 10 would soon be ready for licensing, and now it is walking the unreleased OS and handsets through carrier partners months ahead of shipment — following a public hands-on demo back in June. The message to carriers is that the platform is real and coming, even though no device ships yet.

The story travelled unusually widely for a pre-launch reassurance tour, picked up by Canadian Press, MobileSyrup, Phone Arena, eWeek, Neowin and others within a day — evidence that carrier sentiment toward RIM is itself the news being traded on while the company waits out its gap between announcement and hardware.

First-order effects

  • Carrier partners get their first structured look at BlackBerry 10 hardware ahead of launch, letting them make stocking and marketing commitments before the phones ship rather than after.
  • RIM converts its licensing-ready posture into distribution leverage: positive carrier reactions are the proof point it needs to keep the platform pitch credible during the months-long wait.

Second-order effects

  • Carriers face a holiday-season allocation question — how much shelf space and subsidy weight to give an unproven third ecosystem against entrenched iOS and Android lineups, which is exactly where RIM is most exposed while devices remain unshipped.
  • If carrier enthusiasm holds, rival handset makers lose the argument that BlackBerry is dead at the point of carrier negotiation; if it fades, RIM's licensing offer loses its anchor customer base.

Third-order effects

  • The episode tests whether carrier endorsement can still seed a mobile OS in a market where app ecosystems, not carrier deals, decide platform survival — the structural question underlying RIM's whole BlackBerry 10 bet.
  • A successful multi-carrier launch would validate the licensing model RIM outlined in August, opening a path where BlackBerry 10 competes as a licensable system rather than a single-vendor platform.

The trend: Mobile platforms are entering a phase where winning carrier pre-launch commitments, not just consumer launches, determines whether a third ecosystem can survive alongside iOS and Android.