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Apple confirms: OS X Mountain Lion available tomorrow on the Mac App Store for $19.99

In its Q3 financial earnings press release today, Apple, has announced that OS X Mountain Lion will be available tomorrow.  The release will come exclusively through the digital Mac App Store …

9to5Mac Mark Gurman

Context & Ripple Effects

The confirmation lands one week after Apple seeded the Mountain Lion golden master to developers and days after reports of Apple Store overnight events scheduled for July 24 pointed at an imminent launch. What is new is the channel: unlike last year's Lion rollout, when retail stores received golden master copies and Apple sold a $69 Lion USB thumb drive for machines without fast connections, Mountain Lion ships exclusively through the Mac App Store at $19.99.

Apple also chose an unusual venue for the announcement — the fiscal Q3 2012 earnings press release, which reported $35 billion in quarterly revenue and 17 million iPads sold — folding a consumer product date into its investor communications rather than a standalone event.

First-order effects

  • Mac owners can upgrade to Mountain Lion tomorrow as a $19.99 download with no store visit, no disc, and no physical media option announced.
  • Apple Retail loses the launch-day role it played for Lion in 2011, when stores received golden master builds and served as the physical upgrade channel.

Second-order effects

  • Pricing pressure moves against any remaining boxed-OS economics: a year after Apple charged $69 for a Lion thumb drive, the $19.99 download-only price makes physical upgrade media hard to justify for either Apple or third-party resellers.
  • Embedding the release date in the earnings release turns quarterly results into a product-cadence signal, giving investors a near-term catalyst tied to App Store transaction volume.

Third-order effects

  • If every major OS X release now debuts digitally at impulse-level pricing, the desktop operating system completes its shift from shrink-wrapped product to recurring app-store transaction, with Apple controlling distribution end to end.
  • An annualized, low-cost upgrade rhythm raises the baseline expectation across PC vendors that OS updates are frequent, cheap, and delivered by the platform owner rather than through retail channels.

The trend: Desktop operating systems are collapsing into first-party app-store distribution, with Apple leading the move to cheap, frequent, download-only upgrades.