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Apple Television, AirPlay and Why the iPad Is the New TV Apps Platform

Ever since the publication of Walter Issacson's biography on Steve Jobs where he cites Steve as saying that he and Apple had “cracked the code” on TV, there has been insane speculation about Apple's purported forthcoming TV products and strategy.

AllThingsD Jeremy Allaire

Context & Ripple Effects

Two years of reporting have built this moment: 9to5Mac framed AirPlay as Apple's 'go to market' Internet TV strategy back in September 2010, and through late 2011 the drumbeat intensified — VentureBeat cited sources saying Apple was working on a television for 2012, and the Wall Street Journal reported in December that Apple was plotting its TV assault. The Isaacson biography quote about having 'cracked the code' turned all of it into open-ended speculation rather than a confirmed product.

Against that backdrop, this AllThingsD analysis makes a quieter argument that cuts across the rumor cycle: the iPad, paired with AirPlay, may already be the apps platform for the living room — meaning Apple's TV play could run through the screen people already own, not only through an Apple-built display. The story traveled widely on pickup, with syndication at 9to5Mac, AppleInsider and others, which itself shows how hungry the market is for any concrete reading of Apple's intentions.

First-order effects

  • If the iPad-plus-AirPlay stack is the real platform, content owners negotiating with Apple face a second front: Apple reaches their viewers through an installed base of iPads regardless of whether an Apple television ever ships.

Second-order effects

  • Pay-TV operators and consumer electronics makers would be pushed to pick sides — embrace AirPlay integration or build competing second-screen experiences of their own — because whoever owns the tablet-side interface mediates what appears on the big screen.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, value in the living room migrates away from the set-top box and the display itself toward the companion device and its app ecosystem — an access-layer power shift where the controller of the second screen sets the terms for everyone downstream.

The trend: Television is becoming a two-screen business in which the tablet — not the set or the box — is the platform layer where apps, discovery and control consolidate.