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In a Samsung Galaxy far, far away ... will Android still rule?

(Reuters) - Samsung Electronics is the world's largest smartphone manufacturer and biggest user of Google's Android operating system.  —  And, for some, that's the problem.  —  Samsung's meteoric rise …

Reuters Jeremy Wagstaff

Context & Ripple Effects

Samsung enters May 2012 at the peak of its momentum: ComScore put it atop the U.S. mobile brand ranking this week, with Android powering 51% of American smartphones. The Reuters piece lands amid a running argument from late 2011 about what that dominance actually means — skeptics challenged Samsung's shipment numbers outright, while Business Insider argued that Samsung overtaking Apple was bad news for Google, not just its rival.

The tension is structural rather than new: the world's largest smartphone maker is also Android's biggest customer, so Google's platform fortunes are increasingly tied to a single hardware partner whose interests need not match its own.

First-order effects

  • Samsung's scale makes it the de facto face of Android for consumers — its Galaxy devices, including the newly preorderable Galaxy Tab 2 10.1, define what most buyers experience of the OS.
  • Google's negotiating position with its own largest licensee weakens: the partner that delivers the bulk of Android volume has growing leverage over the platform's direction.

Second-order effects

  • Other Android OEMs must differentiate against a rival that outships them while using their shared OS, pushing them toward alternative platforms or deeper software customization.
  • If Samsung's weight grows further, pressure builds inside Google to reassert platform control — through services, exclusives, or acquisition — since the OS owner no longer sets terms unilaterally.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points toward open-source mobile platforms concentrating power in whoever ships the most hardware, not whoever writes the code — a shift that could eventually push Android toward forks or a Samsung-flavored ecosystem if the alignment breaks.
  • Regulators and partners alike would have to treat Samsung not as a licensee but as a gatekeeper, changing how the smartphone supply chain prices components and software licenses.

The trend: Mobile platform power is migrating from operating-system owners like Google to the dominant hardware makers who control distribution, with Android the clearest test case.