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Facebook's Roadshow to Start Monday; IPO Set for May 18

Facebook Inc. is planning to start its roadshow to pitch its stock to investors on Monday, as the social network enters the final stages of its coming public offering, said people familiar with the matter.

Wall Street Journal

Context & Ripple Effects

Facebook's path to market has been running on a published schedule since late 2011, when the company was reported to be targeting an IPO window between April and June 2012. The January S-1 filing put hard numbers behind that plan — a year earlier, its financials were already feeding IPO outlooks — and by April the company was aiming at a mid-May pricing date. The roadshow report is the last gate before trading begins.

What makes this week unusual is how widely it traveled: beyond the Journal, the roadshow-and-May-18 timing was picked up on the same day by the Los Angeles Times, ZDNet, PC Magazine, The Verge and others, reflecting how much retail attention is riding on this deal. The company enters it having just closed its $1 billion Instagram acquisition, which will be part of what investors scrutinize on the road.

First-order effects

  • Institutional investors now get their first structured access to management before pricing — if sources familiar with the matter are right, Zuckerberg fronts the pitch starting Monday ahead of a May 18 debut, turning weeks of speculation about the date into a fixed calendar.

Second-order effects

  • The completed $1 billion Instagram deal moves from acquisition news to diligence item: fund managers sizing Facebook's stock will price in what the company paid for growth, and any skepticism voiced on the road feeds directly back into where underwriters can set the range.
  • A firm May 18 date forces every other consumer-internet company weighing a listing to decide whether to file into Facebook's shadow or wait out the attention it will absorb.

Third-order effects

  • Facebook's public numbers become the reference point against which private social-networking valuations get marked — if the offering prices well, the private-to-public arbitrage reopens broadly; if it stumbles, late-stage investors in consumer web companies face a repricing of their own books.

The trend: Consumer internet companies are crossing from private growth stories into public-market accountability, with Facebook's offering serving as the decade's defining test of whether ad-driven network businesses sustain large public valuations.