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Nokia likely to launch Windows 8 tablet PCs in 4Q12, say sources

Nokia will team up with Microsoft to venture into the tablet PC market by releasing a 10-inch Windows 8-based tablet PC set on Qualcomm's dual-core platform in the fourth quarter of 2012 at the earliest, according to sources at upstream component suppliers.

DigiTimes Monica Chen

Context & Ripple Effects

With no tablet of its own, Nokia has staked its recovery on the Lumia line — the [[a:none|Lumia 900]] lands on AT&T on April 22nd at $99.99 — and this report from upstream component suppliers suggests the same Microsoft alliance is about to stretch beyond phones. The timing tracks with Microsoft positioning Windows 8 as its most vital release in years, and the claim traveled fast: eight outlets including The Verge and SlashGear picked up the DigiTimes sourcing within a day.

Both core claims remain unconfirmed rumors — a 10-inch Qualcomm dual-core Windows 8 slate shipping as early as Q4 2012 — but they fit a recognizable pattern: Microsoft pairing its next OS with flagship hardware partners, the way it did with Nokia on Windows Phone.

First-order effects

  • Nokia would enter the tablet market as a first-party Microsoft partner, extending a dependency on Redmond that its Lumia 900 launch already deepens rather than diversifying away from it.
  • Qualcomm gains a marquee ARM design win for Windows 8, validating its dual-core platform against the x86 route other PC makers are expected to take.

Second-order effects

  • Established PC OEMs building Windows 8 slates would face a new competitor that arrives with Microsoft's co-marketing weight behind it, squeezing shelf space at carriers and retailers already primed by the Lumia push.
  • Component suppliers cited as sources become the early beneficiaries, since a Q4 launch implies volume orders placed months ahead of retail availability.

Third-order effects

  • If Nokia ships an ARM-based Windows 8 tablet while x86 vendors ship their own, the Windows tablet market opens split across two chip architectures — a structural fork Microsoft would have to manage across app compatibility.
  • The deeper shift is Microsoft's hardware strategy: flagship partners like Nokia getting early access to its OS turns Windows from a pure licensing business toward curated devices, a model closer to Apple's than to the PC era's.

The trend: Windows device makers are converging on tightly coupled Microsoft-plus-flagship-OEM pairings for Windows 8, with chip architecture choice becoming the new competitive axis between ARM and x86 camps.