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Apple: iPad preorders sell out, demand ‘off the charts’

If you are hoping to score a new iPad from Apple, you might have to wait.  Apple's website shows March 19 as the earliest ship date for online orders of its popular tablet computer.  And there is a limit of two per customer on the number of tablets that can preordered.

USA Today

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the third time Apple has opened iPad preorders into immediate scarcity. In March 2010 the company was estimated to have taken 50,000 orders in the first two hours, inventories were tight enough that production delays threatened the launch, stores were still selling out by May 2010, and only in July 2011 did iPad 2 supply finally catch up with demand.

The new iPad repeats that pattern within days of its March 7 announcement — which also shipped iPhoto for iOS and drew analyst attention to the Retina Display as the upgrade's differentiator. The story traveled widely for a weekend item, picked up by MacRumors, 9to5Mac, App Advice and other Apple-focused outlets, all reporting the same facts: March 19 earliest ship date, two units per customer.

First-order effects

  • Buyers who preorder now wait until at least March 19 for delivery, and the two-per-customer cap blocks bulk purchases that resellers used during earlier iPad launches.
  • Apple enters launch week with zero online inventory buffer, meaning walk-in availability on March 16 depends entirely on what reaches stores rather than backfill from web orders.

Second-order effects

  • The constraint pushes demand toward gray-market listings above list price in the launch window, as it did across the 2010 sellout period, and forces carriers and retail partners to ration their allocations.
  • Rival tablet makers shipping their own spring refreshes now compete against a scarce flagship rather than an abundant one, since comparison reviews will run while most buyers still cannot buy the new iPad.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern across three launches — undersupply at announcement, months-long catch-up — suggests Apple treats launch scarcity as tolerable or even useful, converting every sellout into free evidence of demand, while its display and component suppliers absorb the pressure of ramping a Retina-class panel faster than before.
  • If every iPad generation opens with a sellout, preorder velocity becomes a standing demand signal for investors and suppliers alike, hardening the view of tablets as a supply-constrained category rather than a demand-constrained one.

The trend: Each iPad generation is repeating a launch-cycle rhythm — preorder sellout, allocation limits, then a months-long supply catch-up — making scarcity itself part of Apple's product cadence.