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Bing, Yahoo Now Neck & Neck In US Search Market Share

Bing's slow growth in US search market share continues, and Microsoft's two-and-a-half-year-old search engine is now practically neck-and-neck with Yahoo.  Both, however, remain far behind Google.  —  The latest comScore numbers …

Search Engine Land Matt McGee

Context & Ripple Effects

The #2 slot in US search has been contested territory for over a year: Nielsen had Bing passing Yahoo back in September 2010 (Nielsen called Bing the #2 engine), and StatCounter had it ahead worldwide by March 2011 — yet comScore's December numbers still show the two practically tied, a reminder that the ranking depends heavily on whose panel is counting.

The deeper story is structural: with Bing powering Yahoo's organic results under their search deal, Microsoft already supplies both engines — Bing-backed results accounted for roughly 30% of US searches as of April 2011. The neck-and-neck headline measures how much of that combined volume still carries the Yahoo brand versus Microsoft's own.

First-order effects

  • Advertisers and SEO teams planning around 'the #2 engine' face a muddier picture than ever, since comScore, Nielsen, and StatCounter disagree on who holds the slot even as all agree both trail Google by a wide margin.

Second-order effects

  • Every point of share Yahoo cedes to Bing shrinks the value of Yahoo's own brand in search and deepens its dependence on Microsoft's infrastructure — the supplier is winning against its own distribution partner.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, US search settles into a de facto two-player structure — Google on one side, Microsoft supplying both challengers on the other — with Yahoo's long-term role reduced to a distribution agreement rather than an independent engine.

The trend: US search is consolidating into a Google-versus-Microsoft contest in which Microsoft increasingly owns the entire non-Google stack, brand distinctions between Bing and Yahoo notwithstanding.