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Eric Schmidt Comments On Google+'s Success, Claims “Millions” Of Users

Speaking at a press event on Thursday at the Allen & Co conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, former Google CEO and now Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt gave a 70 minute talk to the relatively few reporters …

TechCrunch Alexia Tsotsis

Context & Ripple Effects

Schmidt is making one of his first big public pitches in the Executive Chairman role created by January's CEO shake-up, which handed day-to-day control to Larry Page — and he has chosen Google+, launched only weeks earlier, as the proof point that the company can still open new fronts beyond search. His claim of "millions" of users arrives while early adopters are still actively dissecting the service on Twitter.

The story traveled unusually fast for a press-availability quote: PC World picked up Google's position that Orkut will co-exist with Google+, The Next Web measured Google+ at 35% of Tweeted news links in a week and logged its first major email-notification bug, and investor Kevin Rose said he was forwarding kevinrose.com to the network because it gave him more real-time feedback than his blog.

First-order effects

  • Google now has top-level executive validation behind Google+, with Schmidt publicly framing user numbers as evidence of success before the product is even broadly available.
  • Orkut users get an explicit answer from Google — via the PC World pickup of Schmidt's remarks — that the older network will continue alongside Google+ rather than being folded into it.

Second-order effects

  • Prominent early adopters like Kevin Rose redirecting their personal domains and engagement toward Google+ gives the network an influencer distribution channel it did not buy or build itself, pressuring Twitter and Facebook on the attention economy front.
  • Coverage measuring Google+ share against Tweeted news links sets up a public scoreboard where every usage statistic — official or third-party — becomes ammunition in the narrative war over whether the launch is working.

Third-order effects

  • If Schmidt's framing holds, Google's structure shifts from a company whose social efforts are experiments to one where social graph data is treated as core infrastructure alongside search and Android — the same diversification logic Android used to answer the "one-trick pony" criticism Schmidt himself has been rebutting since at least his 2009 TechCrunch interview.
  • A pattern of executives defending young products with aggregate user counts, as Schmidt does here at Sun Valley, pushes rivals into responding with their own disclosure norms around active-user metrics.

The trend: Google is positioning Google+ as its answer to the social graph question, with executive rhetoric and influencer adoption doing the marketing ahead of general availability.