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Chronicles

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Apple snags 50% of handset industry profits ahead of first 100M iPhone year

In less than four years, Apple went from not making a dime on handset sales to commanding approximately half of the industry's profits, and is now poised to set the bar even higher by shipping 100 million iPhones over a 12-month span, financial experts say.

AppleInsider Slash Lane

Context & Ripple Effects

The profit-share story has been building for two years: AppleInsider's own August 2009 tally put the iPhone at 32 percent of handset operating profits, and by January 2011 analysts were flagging that a 4 percent unit share was already yielding more than half the industry's profit. Today's figure confirms that trajectory held through mid-2011.

What changes now is scale: with Apple poised to ship 100 million iPhones across twelve months for the first time, the question shifts from whether a niche vendor can out-earn the industry to what happens when its profit dominance is paired with real volume.

First-order effects

  • Apple is capturing approximately half of all handset industry profits on roughly 4 percent of unit shipments, meaning the remaining ~96 percent of the market is competing for the other half of the money.

Second-order effects

  • Rival handset makers are pushed further toward high-volume, thin-margin strategies at the low end, since matching Apple's pricing head-on would require carrier subsidies their cost structures cannot absorb.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, handset industry health stops being measured in unit share and starts being measured in profit-pool capture — a metric on which a single vendor can dominate while holding minority share.

The trend: Handset economics are consolidating around premium ecosystem players whose profit share vastly outruns their unit share, forcing the rest of the industry to compete on volume.