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Google Offers Versus Groupon: The Portland Throwdown

Google Offers just finished its first month.  Google has been testing its Groupon compete in Portland and I've been closely tracking the results.  —  Doing a head-to-head comparison like this is a bit difficult because the two companies run deals differently.

TechCrunch Rocky Agrawal

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the endgame of a courtship that began last winter: after reports in late 2010 that Google was shopping for a Groupon rival and BoomTown's November piece on who else might enter the bidding, Google walked away from acquiring Groupon outright and instead built its own daily-deals product, confirmed as an exclusive by Mashable in January 2011.

Google Offers went live with its first Portland offer on June 1, following Business Insider's late-June rundown of the service's mechanics. TechCrunch's month-one head-to-head matters because the two companies run deals differently — so Portland is effectively the controlled test of whether Google's distribution muscle beats Groupon's deal-making playbook on Groupon's home turf.

First-order effects

  • Groupon now faces its first direct, at-scale competitor in its core daily-deals format, with Google testing pricing and merchant terms against it city-by-city in Portland rather than nationwide.

Second-order effects

  • Local merchants gain negotiating leverage: a second buyer for their discount inventory means deal economics — revenue splits and exclusivity — come under pressure for both platforms.

Third-order effects

  • If the Portland test scales, local commerce consolidates around whichever player owns both the consumer audience and the merchant relationship, pushing smaller daily-deals clones toward niche verticals or acquisition.

The trend: Daily deals is shifting from a land-grab of standalone coupon companies into a distribution war between platform-scale incumbents like Google and category leader Groupon.