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Microsoft to launch Office 365 on June 28

Microsoft is holding its official launch of its cloud-hosted application suite, known as Office 365, on June 28.  —  CEO Steve Ballmer will be on hand at the New York launch event, according to an invitation I received.

All about Microsoft Blog Mary Jo Foley

Context & Ripple Effects

Office 365 has been on a slow fuse since Microsoft announced it in October 2010, and the June 28 date turns that announcement into a shipping product. Putting Steve Ballmer on stage in New York rather than delegating the event signals how much corporate weight Redmond is staking on the move.

The timing matters within Microsoft's own arc: the company has just closed the $8.5 billion Skype acquisition, is losing U.S. smartphone share alongside RIM per comScore data, and is prepping Windows Phone Mango — so a successful subscription business built on its most profitable franchise is the counterweight Ballmer needs.

First-order effects

  • Businesses can now buy Office as a hosted subscription instead of boxed licenses and on-premises servers, making June 28 the day Microsoft's flagship product starts competing against its own installed-base economics.
  • Ballmer personally fronting the launch commits the CEO publicly to the services transition, raising the cost of any stumble in availability or reliability out of the gate.

Second-order effects

  • Rivals selling hosted productivity suites now face Microsoft attacking their segment with the Office brand attached, forcing price and feature responses across the cloud-collaboration market.
  • Resellers and integrators whose margins depend on boxed Office and server deployments face a recurring-revenue model that shifts their role toward ongoing tenant management rather than one-time license sales.

Third-order effects

  • If subscriptions stick, Microsoft's largest revenue line moves off the discrete upgrade cycle toward continuous billing — changing what a 'release' even means for the Office ecosystem.
  • The pattern points toward cloud delivery becoming the default expectation for business productivity software, with competition settling around datacenter scale, uptime, and bundled communications (a space the Skype purchase positions Microsoft to fill).

The trend: Productivity software is shifting from perpetual desktop licenses to cloud-hosted subscriptions, and Microsoft is converting its biggest franchise into the anchor tenant of that model.