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HTC Climbs Past Nokia in Market Cap

HTC just passed a stunning financial milestone, surpassing yet another formidable rival.  Having recently roared past Research in Motion in market cap, the company has soared on past Nokia as well.  —  HTC's market cap today sits at about $33.8 billion …

Digital Daily John Paczkowski

Context & Ripple Effects

The ranking flip is the second of its kind in quick succession: HTC had only just passed Research in Motion in market capitalization before edging past Nokia, with its valuation sitting near $33.8 billion. The move lands days after the HTC Thunderbolt went live on Verizon's network, giving the company a flagship presence on the largest US carrier push.

Nokia's side of the ledger explains the gap opening up: its March 11 form 20-F filing disclosed fresh detail on the Microsoft smartphone partnership, and the company has stated the transition to Windows Phone will take about two years — a window in which its current smartphone line carries the valuation load. Carrier-leak rumors around both the Nokia X7 and the HTC Flyer show both firms still competing for the same spring-summer shelf space.

First-order effects

  • HTC enters Nokia's traditional territory in vendor rankings, holding a larger market cap than a company that still sells more phones — investors are pricing HTC's Android momentum over Nokia's installed base.
  • Nokia faces the valuation consequences of its own stated timeline: a two-year Windows Phone transition means its equity story rests on execution promises rather than shipping product.

Second-order effects

  • Carriers like Verizon gain leverage as multiple Android makers — HTC foremost among them after the Thunderbolt launch — compete for flagship placements against a Nokia lineup awaiting its platform switch.
  • Research in Motion, passed earlier, is squeezed from both directions: it must defend enterprise accounts while consumer buyers see Android vendors out-investing it by market-cap measures.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds through Nokia's transition window, smartphone industry standing will have rotated from incumbent OS owners toward Android hardware licensees, decoupling market value from unit-shipment heritage.
  • A multi-year platform migration at a major incumbent creates the template for how markets reprice device makers mid-transition — brand and volume count for less than position on the winning software stack.

The trend: Market leadership in handsets is rotating from incumbent operating-system owners to Android hardware makers while Nokia's multi-year Windows Phone transition leaves its valuation exposed.