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Chronicles

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Is Microsoft Zune about to be Kinned?

Over the past few days, more and more Microsoft watchers are noticing that Microsoft execs seem to be making a deliberate effort to avoid using the Z (Zune) word.  That avoidance has set off a wave of speculation.  —  Some pundits claiming …

All about Microsoft Blog Mary Jo Foley

Context & Ripple Effects

The Zune has been on borrowed time in the rumor cycle before: Microsoft spent 2006 positioning it as an iPod competitor, then fielded reports of a Zune phone in the works in 2007 and again in early 2010, followed by talk of an HD2 model last September — none of which produced a clear product story.

What changed this week is the Nokia software partnership announced days earlier, which makes Windows Phone 7 the company's consumer mobile bet and leaves the Zune brand with no obvious home. Microsoft watchers flagged execs' conspicuous avoidance of the 'Z' word as deliberate, and while Neowin carried a same-day follow-up reporting that Microsoft says Zune services are not being killed, the brand's fate remains unconfirmed.

First-order effects

  • Zune hardware owners and Zune Pass subscribers face immediate uncertainty about whether devices and the subscription service stay supported or get folded into other Microsoft products.
  • Microsoft's own messaging is now split: executives sidestep the brand while the company simultaneously pushes back through press channels that the services survive.

Second-order effects

  • With the Nokia deal anchoring Windows Phone 7 as the flagship platform, Zune's music and marketplace assets become candidates for absorption into the phone ecosystem rather than standing alone against Apple and Google.
  • Rivals in digital music can read the silence as a retreat, pressing their advantage in subscription and device bundles while Microsoft reorganizes its consumer lineup.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, standalone media players go the way of dedicated brands inside larger phone platforms — the same consolidation logic that drove the Kin's quick exit could make 'kinned' shorthand for any subsumed Microsoft product line.
  • A Microsoft that bets billions on Nokia software leaves less strategic room for parallel consumer hardware brands, pointing toward a tighter, phone-centered entertainment strategy whose details remain unconfirmed.

The trend: Standalone media-player brands are being absorbed into smartphone ecosystems, with Microsoft's post-Nokia Windows Phone push deciding whether Zune survives as a name or lives on only as services.