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Valentines Day Bait & Switch: Groupon Must Avoid Becoming Just Another Useless Coupon Site

I assume that “sale!” signs in retail businesses are usually just BS.  The stores keep normal prices higher than they should be so they can offer customers a faux discount.

TechCrunch Michael Arrington

Context & Ripple Effects

Groupon spent late 2010 laying groundwork to move past its hand-curated model: it signaled a shift toward self-serve in October, then in December announced Groupon Stores and the Deal Feed to let merchants list deals directly — all while copycats like AOL's Groupon clone circled the category.

First-order effects

  • Groupon takes a direct trust hit on one of its highest-volume gifting days, forcing same-week damage control via an email about the FTD coupon.
  • FTD bears the immediate reputational cost: a coupon perceived as a faux discount on inflated prices mirrors the retail 'sale!' behavior the piece says shoppers already discount.

Second-order effects

  • With Groupon Stores opening the platform to self-serve merchants, deal-quality control shifts from Groupon's editors to the merchants themselves — exactly as clones like AOL's lower consumer expectations for what a deal site is.
  • If shoppers start treating Groupon offers the way they treat retail sale signs, the perceived savings — the product itself — loses value, weakening Groupon's leverage over merchants and its take rate.

Third-order effects

  • The daily-deal industry's defensible position moves from deal inventory to discount verification: platforms that certify genuine savings against honest reference prices would separate from generic coupon clutter.
  • Self-serve marketplaces structurally invite reference-price inflation; without some verification layer, the category converges on the very 'useless coupon site' dynamic its leaders are trying to escape.

The trend: As group-buying platforms shift from curated deals to self-serve merchant marketplaces, verifying that advertised discounts are real becomes the category's central trust problem.