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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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MocoSpace looking to buy MySpace

MocoSpace, a Boston-based mobile social network operated by JNJ Mobile Inc., is interested in buying MySpace now that the web-based social network has been put on the block by current owner News Corp., and CEO Justin Siegel said that News Corp. has already responded to their advances.

Mass High Tech Rodney H. Brown

Context & Ripple Effects

MySpace's slide has been long-documented: teens were drifting away as early as October 2006, News Corp floated swapping the site for a Yahoo! stake back in 2007, and by 2009 it was shopping around CEO options. The January 2011 confirmation of roughly 500 layoffs — 47 percent of staff — capped a run of bad news that also included an all-time traffic low of about 50 million monthly uniques and steady attrition of mid-level managers.

Now News Corp has formally put the property on the block, and the first declared suitor is not a media conglomerate but MocoSpace, a Boston-based mobile social network run by JNJ Mobile whose CEO Justin Siegel says News Corp has already responded to its interest — though that response remains unconfirmed beyond Siegel's account. A mobile-first buyer bidding for a shrinking web network is the notable twist in what had looked like a distress sale.

First-order effects

  • News Corp's divestiture process now has at least one named bidder outside traditional media, giving the banked sale leverage beyond the usual entertainment-company suspects.
  • MocoSpace would acquire MySpace's remaining audience and music-destination positioning — analysts' cited case for its survival — at whatever fire-sale price the auction sets.

Second-order effects

  • Other prospective buyers must now price MySpace against both its eroding traffic and the possibility that a small mobile operator sees value they don't, which pressures bids downward rather than up.
  • MySpace's surviving staff, already thinned by the January cuts, face a second round of integration risk under an owner with no track record running a large web property.

Third-order effects

  • If a mobile-first operator can outbid media incumbents for a founding social network, the first generation of web-scale social platforms exits as distressed inventory while the center of gravity moves to phones.
  • The episode reinforces that legacy social networks are now valued for their residual audiences and content rights rather than growth — a template for how the next round of displaced platforms will be sold.

The trend: First-wave web social networks are exiting through distressed sales, with mobile-first operators emerging as unlikely bidders for legacy audiences.