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Mass shipments of iPad 2 now expected in April

Although Apple was rumored to launch the iPad in February or March, a new report from Digitimes claims Apple's next-gen tablet will hit the mass shipment stage in April of this year.  In addition, Apple has upped their amount of PCB suppliers …

9 to 5 Mac Mark Gurman

Context & Ripple Effects

Digitimes has been the running source on Apple's next tablet: it reported on December 28 that Apple was preparing three versions of the iPad 2 for 2011, and a January 7 Kevin Rose rumor put an imminent launch in play. Today's report pushes the timeline out — mass shipments in April rather than the February or March window earlier rumors suggested — while claiming Apple has widened its pool of PCB suppliers ahead of the production ramp.

The timing matters against two confirmed data points from this week: Apple just posted a blow-out fiscal Q1 2011 quarter that beat Wall Street expectations, and the iPhone launches on Verizon's network within roughly three weeks. A spring tablet ramp means Apple's component demand is stacking on top of an already heavy phone build.

First-order effects

  • PCB suppliers gaining new Apple business get a second-half-of-Q1 order surge tied to April mass production, though the report remains unconfirmed by Apple.
  • Apple's own launch calendar slips relative to the February-March expectations its rumor mill set, leaving the original iPad as the sole shipping model into the spring.

Second-order effects

  • Rival tablet makers planning first-half launches now have a longer window before Apple refreshes, but also face the same tightened PCB and component supply if Apple is multi-sourcing to lock volume.
  • Component vendors must allocate capacity between Apple's simultaneous iPhone-on-Verizon build and the tablet ramp, raising the odds of allocation pressure further down the supply chain.

Third-order effects

  • If the multi-supplier pattern holds, Apple is institutionalizing dual-sourcing across the board ahead of each major product cycle — a structural feature of what has become the contracted semiconductor cycle, where lead-time commitments decide who ships.
  • A delayed-but-bigger ramp points toward tablet competition being decided less at launch-day announcements and more at who can actually secure parts at volume through 2011.

The trend: Tablet manufacturing is consolidating around Apple's supply-chain commitments, with component sourcing depth — not announcement dates — setting the industry's real launch cadence.