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Chronicles

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Starbucks CIO shows why next version of Windows is “risky business” for Microsoft

Starbucks CIO, Stephen Gillett, and I had breakfast on Wednesday.  He showed me Starbucks new Digital Network, which will pop up on the screen if you sign in on wifi at any of Starbucks US stores. 30 million people a month do that.

Scobleizer Robert Scoble

Context & Ripple Effects

Starbucks' 2007 bet that its Wi-Fi would go free finally landed last week: on October 19 the company switched on free access across more than 6,800 US company-operated stores and simultaneously launched the Starbucks Digital Network, a curated content portal every sign-in lands on — some 30 million people a month, per CIO Stephen Gillett. A 2007 New York Times piece had framed Starbucks as needing to become something like a digital movie palace; the Digital Network is the concrete version of that argument.

The same week supplies the counterpoint that makes the Scobleizer framing sharp: Steve Ballmer told Mary Jo Foley's All About Microsoft blog that the riskiest product bet Microsoft is making is the next release of Windows, days after the company pushed Office 365 as its cloud play. A retailer now owns a content-and-services touchpoint that tens of millions reach through a browser — no particular Windows version required.

First-order effects

  • Starbucks converts what was previously a cost line — free Wi-Fi — into an owned media and merchandising surface, with every one of those 30 million monthly sign-ins routed past curated content before anything else loads.
  • Microsoft's Windows franchise takes a competitive data point from an unexpected quarter: the flagship example of consumer-scale service delivery this month runs entirely in the browser, so the OS release Ballmer himself calls his riskiest bet matters less to how that audience is reached.

Second-order effects

  • Rival coffee and quick-serve chains face pressure to match the move, since a competitor is bundling free connectivity plus exclusive content into a visit at no marginal charge — turning venue Wi-Fi into a differentiator rather than table stakes.
  • Media companies and content owners gain a new bargaining front: placement on high-traffic venue portals like the Digital Network becomes inventory to negotiate, parallel to app-store placement rather than traditional syndication.

Third-order effects

  • If venue-owned portals keep scaling, platform power migrates further from the desktop operating system to whoever controls the physical touchpoint where users connect — a structural threat to any vendor whose revenue depends on OS upgrade cycles.
  • The pattern points toward regulation-adjacent questions over time: as retailers curate what millions of captive-audience users see first, gatekeeping and neutrality norms built around search engines and app stores start being asked of physical-world portals too.

The trend: Consumer computing's default gateway is shifting from the operating system to browser-delivered portals owned by the venues themselves, and Ballmer calling the next Windows release Microsoft's riskiest bet is one marker of that drift.