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300,000 Apple apps?  Not so fast!

The iOS App Store is large and dynamic market place, and measuring its size can be tricky  —  On Sept. 1, Steve Jobs announced that there were more than 250,000 apps to choose from in Apple's (AAPL) App Store.  —  On Saturday, two websites …

Fortune Philip Elmer-DeWitt

Context & Ripple Effects

When Fortune covered the App Store crossing 250,000 apps in late August, the count was treated as an unalloyed growth stat, and Steve Jobs repeated it on stage Sept. 1. Six weeks later the same number has become contested ground: two tracking websites argue the store has not actually reached 300,000, disputing how Apple's catalog gets tallied.

The dispute matters because raw catalog size has been the headline metric in the smartphone platform race, and the story travelled widely enough to draw a same-day pickup from VentureBeat. If third-party counters and Apple's own figures diverge publicly, 'number of apps' stops being a neutral yardstick.

First-order effects

  • Apple's ability to cite a clean six-figure app total in developer pitches and consumer messaging is now qualified by independent trackers publishing lower counts for the same store.
  • The two measuring sites force a methodology debate — what counts as an app versus duplicates, regional variants, or abandoned listings — into the open, where previously only Apple's own announcements set the number.

Second-order effects

  • Rival platforms competing on app-count comparisons lose the clean talking point too: once the metric itself is questioned, Android Market and Apple face pressure to compete on discoverability and quality signals instead of totals.
  • Developers chasing visibility in a crowded catalog get an argument for curation and ranking tools, shifting value toward whoever helps buyers find apps rather than whoever lists them.

Third-order effects

  • If catalog size keeps inflating faster than anyone can verify it, the industry's core platform metric migrates from raw inventory to downloads, active usage, and discovery quality — a structural change in how mobile ecosystems are judged.
  • Independent measurement of walled-garden marketplaces becomes a standing function, since neither the platform owner nor outside observers benefit from accepting official counts at face value.

The trend: Mobile platform competition is moving from raw app-count bragging rights toward contested measurement and quality-of-catalog metrics, with third-party trackers auditing the numbers platforms themselves announce.