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Chronicles

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AOL Close to Buying TechCrunch

AOL, the New York-based online media company, is on the verge of acquiring TechCrunch, the online blogging network started by former attorney, Michael Arrington.  The deal is at a sensitive stage and might fall apart yet, but I don't think so.

GigaOM Om Malik

Context & Ripple Effects

AOL has been rebuilding itself as an original-content company under Tim Armstrong, and the pieces line up in sequence: it bought hyperlocal network Patch in June 2009 and opened its 100th Patch site in August 2010, after earlier buying Sphere's blog content engine in 2008. A TechCrunch acquisition would be the highest-profile move yet — Silicon Alley Insider reports AOL had already tried to buy the blog twice before.

The timing is delicate: Michael Arrington's AngelGate report alleging angel-investor collusion landed just days ago on September 22, and TechCrunch's Disrupt conference opens this week. Robert Scoble frames a sale as 'the end of an era in tech blogging,' and MediaMemo is already weighing the pros and cons — with GigaOM cautioning the deal remains at a sensitive stage and could fall apart.

First-order effects

  • Michael Arrington and the TechCrunch team would go from independent publishers to employees of a New York media company, raising immediate questions about how much editorial independence survives inside AOL.
  • TechCrunch's credibility as a scooping news outlet gets tested right away: it would be reporting on venture deals while owned by a public-facing corporation whose own M&A (the rumored Thing Labs/Brizzly talks) it covers.

Second-order effects

  • Rival independent tech blogs — paidContent, GigaOM, Silicon Alley Insider — face both a validation of their value and a new deep-pocketed competitor, pressuring them toward their own strategic exits or scale-ups.
  • AOL's content strategy shifts decisively from building (Patch) to buying audience and brand, forcing Yahoo and Microsoft's media units to weigh similar acquisitions of influential blogs.

Third-order effects

  • The founder-led tech blog becomes a quasi-exit asset class: influential solo media brands get absorbed into portals, with founders kept on as talent — a structure whose tensions between owner and employer are already visible in how the deal is being negotiated.
  • If portals keep acquiring the loudest independent voices in tech coverage, the industry's news ecosystem stratifies into corporate-owned outlets and a thinner independent layer beneath them.

The trend: Portal-era media companies are responding to the collapse of their legacy businesses by buying influential independent tech blogs outright rather than competing with them.