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Courier: First Details of Microsoft's Secret Tablet

It feels like the whole world is holding its breath for the Apple tablet.  But maybe we've all been dreaming about the wrong device.  This is Courier, Microsoft's astonishing take on the tablet.  —  Courier is a real device …

Gizmodo The Paperboy

Context & Ripple Effects

Since August, the rumor economy has run almost entirely on Apple: Gizmodo's tablet OS mockups and its insider sourcing on the Apple tablet built an expectation that Cupertino would define the category before anyone else even showed hardware.

Courier flips that frame. The details are unconfirmed, and CNET's pickup carries the useful caveat that this is one of many Microsoft prototypes rather than a shipping commitment — but the leak lands at a moment when Microsoft has just disclosed a $560 million fiscal-2009 loss in its Windows Live division and briefed Wall Street analysts on a behind-the-scenes reshuffling of its business groups, so any credible new hardware direction carries extra weight internally and with investors.

First-order effects

  • Microsoft faces immediate pressure to decide whether Courier graduates from prototype to product, since a public leak strips away the option of quietly shelving it the way most Redmond concepts die.
  • Apple's still-unannounced tablet now has a named rival narrative attached to it, raising the bar for what Cupertino must show when its device surfaces.

Second-order effects

  • If both devices move toward market, the tablet category takes shape around two distinct design philosophies — Apple's slate versus Microsoft's dual-screen booklet — forcing software partners to choose which platform model to build for first.
  • Microsoft's business-group reshuffling becomes a live test: analysts freshly briefed on the reorganization will read any tablet commitment as evidence of whether the new structure can ship hardware, not just reorganize around it.

Third-order effects

  • A working Courier prototype signals that the next platform contest will be fought over new interaction models rather than incremental spec bumps, with whichever company converts a leaked concept into a shipping ecosystem setting developer gravity for the category — and the pattern of pre-launch leaks becoming the de facto announcement channel hardening further.

The trend: The tablet is emerging as computing's next contested platform, with Apple and Microsoft racing from rumor and prototype toward a category neither has yet shipped into.