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Like Apple, TV Explores Must-Have Applications

The cable and satellite TV business has a big case of iPhone envy.  —  Apple has been able to popularize its cellphone in a crowded field by giving away or selling specialized applications that make the phone more useful.

New York Times Saul Hansell

Context & Ripple Effects

Two years after reports that Apple's set-top box was positioned to overtake both TiVo and Netflix, the New York Times frames the pay-TV business as having 'iPhone envy': cable and satellite operators are reportedly exploring applications as a way to make their services more useful, mirroring what Apple popularized on its handset. That exploration is still unconfirmed — it is reported as an industry direction rather than announced product plans.

The timing matters because Apple's annual iPod/iTunes event lands this Wednesday in San Francisco, with an updated iPod touch expected — the device that extends the App Store beyond the phone and into the living room's orbit.

First-order effects

  • If cable and satellite operators open their boxes to third-party applications, iPhone developers gain a second mass-market screen to target, while operators get a way to differentiate commodity video packages.
  • Apple's Wednesday event, where an updated iPod touch is expected, raises the stakes for any operator app strategy by pushing the same application catalog closer to the TV.

Second-order effects

  • TiVo, Netflix and other set-top incumbents face pressure to answer with their own developer platforms or risk being outflanked by distributors who treat the box as a software platform rather than a channel tuner.
  • Content owners gain leverage either way: whoever controls the TV application storefront — distributor or device maker — becomes the new gatekeeper for reaching viewers.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the set-top box follows the smartphone path: hardware margins compress, differentiation migrates to the application layer, and control of the TV interface becomes the industry's central power struggle.

The trend: Television is beginning to reorganize around application-store economics, with pay-TV distributors racing Apple to define who owns the living-room platform.