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Economy isn't slowing Apple's building plans

Apple (AAPL) isn't letting the recession slow its retail ambitions.  —  The company said Wednesday that it plans to remodel 100 of its stores this year, to make more room for customer training and displayed products.

USA Today Jefferson Graham

Context & Ripple Effects

The remodel program is the execution phase of a plan Apple laid out in February, when it first signaled a major reorganization of its store floor space. The timing is deliberate: three months earlier it had also slowed its Mac upgrade cadence in step with the economy, showing management trimming where demand was soft while still spending on fixed assets.

What the stores gain room for maps onto what Apple has been building all spring — one billion iPhone apps downloaded in nine months and an estimated $20-45 million in confirmed App Store revenue give staff far more to demonstrate, and training sessions are how that catalog gets sold face to face.

First-order effects

  • Roughly 100 Apple stores get more square footage for customer training and displayed products this year, directly expanding in-store demo and One-to-One-style capacity at a moment when most retailers are cutting fit-out budgets.
  • Commercial landlords and mall operators gain an anchor tenant committing capital through the downturn, which strengthens Apple's negotiating position on lease terms versus shrinking co-tenants.

Second-order effects

  • Competing consumer-electronics retail chains, squeezed on traffic and capital, now face a rival whose showrooms are getting larger and more service-heavy rather than smaller — pushing them toward service-and-training responses they can less easily afford.
  • Every added display and training seat raises the payoff of Apple's next hardware launches; even the rumored tablet pitched as better than iPod touch or iPhone for web, movies, and books (unconfirmed, per reports circulating since mid-May) would land in stores pre-wired to demo it.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, Apple's retail network cements itself as the company's primary launch channel — physical space sized for software ecosystems and services, not just boxed goods — an asset competitors built around selling hardware alone struggle to replicate.
  • Counter-cyclical investment by cash-rich companies becomes a share-taking mechanism: recessions prune weaker retailers' footprints while the strongest player expands into the vacated attention and lease space.

The trend: Retail is shifting from point-of-sale to experience-and-training infrastructure, with Apple using recession-era capital to widen a gap rivals cannot close at their current cost structures.