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Samsung's Android Phone Plans

The handset maker plans to launch three “Google” phones this year.  —  Despite a fanatical amount of interest from the tech media and early adopters, Samsung has mostly kept quiet about its plans to develop phones using Google's mobile platform, Android.

Forbes Elizabeth Woyke

Context & Ripple Effects

Samsung's quiet period ends with a concrete commitment: after Korean trade press reported in December 2008 that a Google Phone would land in Q2, Forbes confirms three Android handsets are planned for 2009. That closes the loop opened when Google first unveiled Android as an open phone platform in late 2007 and early-adopter interest ran far ahead of shipping hardware.

The significance is that Samsung is the first top-tier manufacturer besides HTC to put real volume behind the platform. It also lands amid friction inside the young ecosystem — reports that Google pulled tethering apps from Android Market, attributed unconfirmedly to carrier distribution agreements — showing that carrier relationships are already shaping what Android phones can do out of the box.

First-order effects

  • Samsung's three planned handsets give Android its second major OEM backer, expanding hardware choice beyond HTC for buyers and carriers evaluating the platform this year.
  • Google gains a manufacturing partner with global distribution, directly advancing Android's stated goal of getting the open-source stack onto mass-market devices.

Second-order effects

  • Rival handset makers watching Samsung's move face pressure to either commit to Android or justify their own smartphone stacks against a free platform backed by Google's services.
  • Carriers gain negotiating leverage across multiple Android vendors, which is consistent with the rumored tethering-app removals suggesting distribution agreements already constrain the platform's default behavior.

Third-order effects

  • If Samsung's volumes materialize, Android shifts from a developer-and-early-adopter experiment toward a default smartphone operating system, with carrier agreements rather than the open-source community setting key product terms.
  • A multi-vendor Android market would push differentiation down into hardware and services layers — the pattern later visible in Samsung's device roadmap ambitions.

The trend: Android is crossing from open-source project to volume handset platform as tier-one manufacturers like Samsung convert early interest into shipped products.