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Chronicles

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Investor David Einhorn Done With Microsoft, Ballmer

Famed hedge-fund manager David Einhorn (Greenlight Capital), the man who shorted Lehman Brothers, has been clobbered along with other Wall Street stars over the past few months.  In his “I'm sorry about our awful performance” …

Silicon Alley Insider Henry Blodget

Context & Ripple Effects

Einhorn's exit caps a year of open investor revolt against Microsoft's leadership — calls for Ballmer to go had already surfaced in April 2008 as the stock stagnated. The irony is sharp: the manager who famously shorted Lehman Brothers has been clobbered by the same market turmoil, and is now cutting loose a mega-cap holding rather than defend it.

First-order effects

  • Greenlight Capital exits its Microsoft position entirely, removing one prominent activist voice from the shareholder base and leaving Ballmer without that specific critic to answer to.
  • Einhorn's public break with Ballmer adds a high-profile name to the growing list of investors questioning whether Microsoft's leadership can restore share-price momentum.

Second-order effects

  • Other underperforming institutions face pressure to either follow Einhorn out or push harder for management change internally, since staying silent now looks like endorsement of the status quo.
  • Microsoft's board comes under renewed scrutiny to publicly back or distance itself from Ballmer — a fight it eventually settles by rallying behind him against Einhorn in 2011.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, large-cap tech CEOs survive activist pressure not through performance but through board loyalty and cash generation — a dynamic that keeps leadership questions simmering for years until results force the issue.
  • The episode foreshadows a recurring cycle in which marquee hedge funds rotate through Microsoft as a battleground stock — from Einhorn's exit to Ackman's much later bet on the shares — making investor sentiment itself a barometer of each era's thesis about the company.

The trend: Activist investors are increasingly willing to publicly abandon even mega-cap tech holdings when they lose faith in incumbent management, turning CEO tenure into an ongoing referendum rather than a settled question.