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Michael Dell: Telcos may subsidize netbooks to sell 3G

Dell CEO Michael Dell said he expects netbooks to eventually be subsidized by wireless telecom carriers that would sell the devices along with 3G service.  —  The comments, made at the Citigroup Technology Conference on Wednesday …

Between the Lines Larry Dignan

Context & Ripple Effects

Michael Dell's subsidy call came the same day Dell confirmed its entry into the netbook category — the company had just announced plans to offer a 'netbook' of its own its first low-cost mini-laptop, after earlier reports tied Dell to a Google-linked mobile device push an iPhone-rival project. The remarks reframed netbooks not as standalone PCs but as subscriber-acquisition hardware for carriers sitting on 3G networks.

First-order effects

  • Wireless carriers gain a new hardware channel: instead of selling only data cards and dongles, they can bundle cheap netbooks with multi-year 3G contracts, shifting the device cost onto the service plan.
  • For Dell and other PC makers, carrier distribution opens a volume lane beyond retail and direct sales — but ties netbook pricing to carrier economics rather than traditional PC margins.

Second-order effects

  • Carrier subsidies compress netbook street prices fast: within months Dell's own Mini 9 was selling for just $249 without any subsidy the Mini 9's sub-$250 pricing, undercutting the premise that carriers were needed to hit impulse-buy price points.
  • Verizon moved to formalize the model by confirming it would sell netbooks through its channels Verizon's confirmed netbook plans, forcing AT&T and rivals to respond or cede the attach-rate battle.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the telecom-subsidy playbook migrates from phones to all connected computing devices — culminating in carriers giving away hardware for pennies to lock in contracts, as Sprint did with its near-free netbook offer Sprint's under-a-dollar netbook.
  • PC makers become increasingly dependent on carrier distribution and service bundles, eroding the traditional OEM-retail relationship and pushing hardware toward a loss-leader role in a services-led value chain.

The trend: Hardware is steadily becoming a subsidized loss leader for recurring service revenue — a dynamic that began with phones and spread through netbooks toward every connected device category.