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Vodafone Roadmap: Palm Drucker!

Been a Palm fan forever but feel you're getting quite shafted lately?  We'd agree.  So let's see if the Palm Drucker can change any of that!  To start it off, the Palm Drucker is going to rock quad-band GSM/GPRS/EDGE with a tri-band UMTS/HSDPA radio!

The Boy Genius Report

Context & Ripple Effects

Palm spent late 2007 shoring up trust after a brutal stretch: the open letter to customers and developers followed the Foleo cancellation and yet another slip of its in-house next-generation OS, leaving the company selling aging Garnet hardware plus Windows Mobile devices. The one bright spot was carrier distribution — the Treo 500v on Windows Mobile 6 put Palm back in Vodafone's lineup in September 2007.

The Drucker leak, if accurate, extends that Vodafone relationship upmarket: quad-band GSM/GPRS/EDGE plus tri-band UMTS/HSDPA would make it Palm's fastest radio package yet on the carrier, arriving while the Centro's $99 Sprint pricing shows Palm fighting on two fronts — budget volume in the US and faster 3G hardware in Europe.

First-order effects

  • Vodafone would gain a higher-speed Palm handset to sit above the Treo 500v in its lineup, giving the carrier a 3G answer in a slot currently filled by slower EDGE-era Treos.
  • Palm gets European carrier shelf space without waiting for its own delayed OS — the Drucker would almost certainly ship on a licensed platform, keeping revenue flowing while the in-house successor slips.

Second-order effects

  • Rival operators watching the roadmap — Verizon with its exclusive deep blue-green Treo 755p, Sprint with the $99 Centro — face pressure to lock in their own Palm exclusives or color variants to keep the brand from consolidating around Vodafone in 3G markets.
  • If the Drucker ships on Windows Mobile like the 500v, Microsoft's share of Palm's portfolio grows, weakening whatever pricing leverage Palm's own OS team retains with management.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points to Palm structurally dependent on carrier partners and licensed operating systems: if the in-house OS keeps slipping, the company risks becoming a hardware brand defined by other people's platforms and other people's networks.
  • For carriers, a Palm whose roadmap leaks through operator channels signals the balance of power in handset launches sitting with Vodafone-class buyers rather than the manufacturer — a dynamic that shapes how every subsequent Palm device reaches market.

The trend: Palm is drifting from an integrated hardware-plus-OS company toward a carrier-distributed hardware brand running licensed software, with Vodafone emerging as its key European channel.