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Chronicles

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Digg This: Deal or No Deal?

CEO Jay Adelson discusses rumors that the thriving content-sharing site is up for sale and its plans for 2008  —  As the year winds down, so often does the Web rumor mill.  After all, even the most prolific bloggers have to put in some holiday time with the family.

Business Week Catherine Holahan

Context & Ripple Effects

The sale chatter around Digg has been building all month: a source told VentureBeat on December 17 that the company had hired a bank hoping to fetch $300 million or more, and Marketing Pilgrim picked up the $300 million figure a day later. Before that, Valleywag floated a possible News Corp. deal and asked whether Revision3 — Adelson's video venture — would be swept into it.

This Business Week interview is the first time Adelson himself addresses the rumors on the record, while also laying out Digg's 2008 plans. With no syndicated pickup and no public reaction threads attached, the piece's weight rests entirely on the CEO's own framing versus the reported price tag.

First-order effects

  • Adelson going on record gives bidders and reporters a single authoritative counterpoint to the unnamed-source reports, but does not deny the process exists — leaving the $300 million anchor from the bank-hire story intact as the negotiating frame.
  • Any suitor weighing a bid must now account for the Revision3 entanglement raised in the Valleywag rumor, since Adelson sits atop both companies and a clean asset purchase of Digg alone may not be on offer.

Second-order effects

  • Incumbent media buyers like News Corp., already rumored as a fit, face a build-vs-buy decision: Digg's community-driven front page is the kind of audience aggregator that is cheaper to acquire than to replicate organically.
  • Rival social-news and aggregation startups gain a pricing benchmark — if Digg transacts near nine figures on community traffic rather than proven revenue, every comparable site's fundraising pitch gets re-priced upward.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, 2008 shapes up as the year user-generated-content platforms stop being independent experiments and become acquisition targets for traditional media companies seeking pre-built audiences — with founder-led side ventures like Revision3 complicating which assets actually change hands.
  • A completed deal at the rumored scale would also test whether community-curated content sites can hold their value post-acquisition, since the asset is an active contributor base rather than owned content — a question acquirers have not yet had to answer at this price point.

The trend: Community-driven Web 2.0 sites are crossing from independent growth stories into acquisition targets, with founders' side ventures and unproven monetization shaping who can actually afford them.