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Blockbuster grinches Total Access customers with price hike

A handful of disgruntled (and in a couple of of cases, soon-to-be-ex-) Blockbuster customers wrote in this morning to point out that the video rental giant has hiked the prices for its Total Access mail order rental plan.

Ars Technica Eric Bangeman

Context & Ripple Effects

Blockbuster's 2007 has been a pivot year: after reports in June that it and Best Buy were preparing movie download services with studio backing, it bought Movielink in August to get a digital foothold. Through all of that, Total Access — the mail-order plan that lets subscribers exchange online rentals in stores — has been its main weapon against Netflix, and the subject of a widely-read obituary-style look at Blockbuster's trajectory just last month.

Now the company is raising prices on that same plan, with the 3-out unlimited tier moving to $34.99 according to syndicated pickup by Hacking NetFlix, which notes this is not the first increase. Squeezing the flagship retention product mid-pivot is a bet that the base will absorb it rather than defect.

First-order effects

  • Total Access subscribers face a higher bill on the plan they joined at lower rates, and the customer complaints cited by Ars Technica include members who say they are cancelling outright.
  • Blockbuster trades short-term revenue per subscriber against churn in the one segment where it holds a structural edge over Netflix — in-store exchange.

Second-order effects

  • Every dollar of the increase narrows Total Access's price gap with Netflix's plans, handing Netflix a retention argument it did not have to earn and lowering the switching cost for Blockbuster's most valuable households.
  • Store traffic takes the hit indirectly: in-store exchanges are what make the plan sticky, so cancellations erode the foot traffic that Blockbuster's retail business depends on.

Third-order effects

  • If Blockbuster keeps monetizing its installed base while funding the digital build-out it began with Movielink, the pattern points to a classic subscription scale trap — pricing up a shrinking core to finance a transition whose economics are still unproven.

The trend: Physical-media subscription services are shifting from discount-driven subscriber growth to raising prices on existing customers as the digital transition forces them to fund two businesses at once.